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#character-encoding UTF-8
#player1 Niel_Gan Niel Gan
#player2 Dennis_Ikekeregor Dennis Ikekeregor
>Niel_Gan: ?EEIPQV 8G QI +22 22
#note EQuIPE holding V probably not worth it with how much you give up between oppo response and your next turn.
>Dennis_Ikekeregor: NOOW I5 WOON +20 20
>Niel_Gan: ?CEEPRV H1 PREVE +47 69
#note Seems fine to not play PERVE since there's only one hot spot on the next turn otherwise, assuming no hit.
>Dennis_Ikekeregor: EUY J4 UEY +33 53
>Niel_Gan: ?BCTUVY 3E CUT.Y +15 84
#note That said, wtf did I do this
>Dennis_Ikekeregor: EGILRST H7 G.RLIEST +63 116
>Niel_Gan: ?BDEOSV 11C OVErB.DS +76 160
#note Be(L)OVEDS scores one more point and in a vacuum equalizes our/oppo chances of bingoing, while OVErB(I)DS is slightly lopsided toward oppo. That said, Dennis less likely than average to bing immediately on this turn so I slightly prefer this, esp with our word knowledge imbalance.
>Dennis_Ikekeregor: PRRU K2 PURR +28 144
>Niel_Gan: AADKMNR L1 MAND +34 194
#note More word knowledge and finding misses. Second time missing plays through that R, do I mysteriously hate Rs? I think I might because that's clearly the only explanation, not my shoddy board vision.
I had a chance of knowing the bing because I had looked at the same pattern for 7s, but ah well.
>Dennis_Ikekeregor: IMO 2F MI.O +29 173
>Niel_Gan: AEEGKNR 13C GREEK. +32 226
>Niel_Gan: AEEGKNR -- -32 194
#note I should know better
>Dennis_Ikekeregor: AADHIL 1A DAHLIA +38 211
>Niel_Gan: AEEGKNR C9 KR.NE +28 222
#note -12% from simple 1L (M)AKE, ouch. Probably on account of phony/time pressure tilt + not updating mental tempo/score + underestimating EGNR in this sitch. KNA(V)E a better version of this if I do it.
>Dennis_Ikekeregor: AEX 2A AXE +46 257
>Niel_Gan: AEGHIOT 4A GOETH +29 251
#note Not sure how I could look at HET/EH and decide to play this, -3%
>Dennis_Ikekeregor: EFOR 5B FROE +39 296
>Niel_Gan: AEEFIIO 6B FAE +37 288
#note Mmm what a tasty leave. Suitable punishment for my previous turn
>Dennis_Ikekeregor: AAB 10E BAA. +19 315
>Niel_Gan: AEIIJNO M1 ONIE +28 316
#note Should've played my next turn on this turn. AEIO actually bingos ~18% with this pool/board, plus it gives counterplay if he bings. I think I might've made the right play if I started thinking about all that earlier. I was still trying to play fast enough to "not feel rushed in the preendgame," but it was probably appropriate to start shifting toward preendgame thinking around here. Meaning proper acknowledgement of slimness of chances.
>Dennis_Ikekeregor: LL 1L ..LL +18 333
>Niel_Gan: AIIJNOU 14A JIN +30 346
>Niel_Gan: AGIOTUW (challenge) +5 351
#note Sims best by ~6% even without the +5. Counterplay and okay endgame timing if he bingos next turn and draws 6; pretty unpleasant to deal with most of the time if he doesn't bingo right away.
>Dennis_Ikekeregor: ACDEINT 14E NIC.ATED +65 398
#note NG: Sacrificing 11 points gets Dennis close to 25 additional win % in this pool, nice recognition. Not sure what I would read from JIN in his position - holding both of AO and prob also an I somewhat likely, and would also need to account for no TAJ. Curious what others would read about presence/lack of blank.
>Niel_Gan: AGIOTUW A12 GO.I +42 393
#note Not one of the draws that wins, by a long shot.
>Dennis_Ikekeregor: ?ISSTZ 15K SIZeS +48 446
>Niel_Gan: ATUW D11 .AW +27 420
#note Forgot +5 for OVERBIDS. Some very messy playfinding in the middle there. I think I was letting his blitzing affect me, but the only real solution is being able to see all the plays as quickly, and particularly see decisively best plays quickly when they aren't insane overlaps or similar.
>Dennis_Ikekeregor: T E10 ..T +8 454
>Dennis_Ikekeregor: (TU) +4 458
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