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#character-encoding UTF-8
#player1 Dean_Saldanha Dean Saldanha
#player2 Josh_ Josh
>Dean_Saldanha: ADNNNRS 8D FIATING +80 80
>Dean_Saldanha: ADNNNRS -- -80 0
#note #
>Josh_: AENRTTU -TU +0 0
#note regular sim at 4 ply says this is a 14-point mistake over playing TAUNTER U on the star, allowing FAINTI(N)G for 66, and playing the position being up a tempo with decent options. However, the position is way more complex than that. If I go ahead a move, input Dean's position and my exact leave, his best-simming response is to play IF for 10 rather than FATING for 28. That reduces my chances of getting a bingo down from around 70 to 60%, and increases his chances to 60, though this is mainly due to what I would open with my own bingo. There's more to consider here, based mainly on what I expected Dean to play after my exchange (which was what he indeed played). My thinking was that my rack, even without the playable bingo, was stronger than his, and that I was likeliest to bingo first. Still, these numbers seem to prove that my thinking was off about the strength of my leave, and that I was basically risking improving Dean's position by not playing my bingo immediately, and putting us in a similar position to TAUNTER + FAINTING, except with Dean having scored points and me having not. There could have been a moral imperative here that caused me not to play TAUNTER, such that I thought I should not have to give Dean a free pass. There is something to be said about complicating the position, certainly, but I don't believe at this point that it was worth it. I'm also complicating things for myself.
>Dean_Saldanha: AFGIINT 8G FIG +14 14
>Josh_: AEENRRT 9A TERRANE +65 65
#note I do get the first bingo down as desired. I didn't want to play UT last turn, since the position after UT + FIG/GUT was really unconducive to getting a bingo down. Still, this positioning is quite unideal.
>Dean_Saldanha: AINOPT A7 AN.IPOT +30 44
>Josh_: ACCDMSX 10E MAD +23 88
#note the complications have arrived. I considered D8 C(R)AMS, B12 MAX as well as this. I figured my S might have some recursive value, but that C(R)AMS seemed ideal leave-wise. I hated facilitating so many positions by hanging the I hook with B12 MAX. I briefly considered SAX/FIGS as well. I ultimately went with this, but was not satisfied. Quackle thinks this is a 5-point mistake. #questionable
>Dean_Saldanha: AQU 11C QUA +34 78
>Josh_: ACCIKSX J6 XIS +34 122
#note definitely a lucky draw. I never considered XI B6, which appears to be consistent with my previous play to keep the S. #findingsmall
>Dean_Saldanha: EEILMR H10 ELMIER +40 118
>Josh_: ?ACCKTW 5I WACK +37 159
#note drawing my way out of danger
>Dean_Saldanha: DELOOP M1 POOLED +32 150
>Josh_: ?CHRTUU 12H .UTCH +24 183
#note missing 12D THRU(M). MUTCH was held and released. #findingmedium
>Dean_Saldanha: ADEW L3 WA.ED +38 188
>Josh_: ?EGORTU 15A GROUTiE. +77 260
#note looking for and missing 4D GOURmET #findingsmall
>Dean_Saldanha: DEOT 1K TO.ED +27 215
#note GROUTIER was also held and released
>Josh_: ABEINOS 6F INBO. +21 281
#note completely without a plan. It was either this or 14E AB, which will lead to more game-ending bingos for me next turn. #questionable
>Dean_Saldanha: JO J10 JO. +26 241
>Josh_: AAEEISY B5 AIYE. +17 298
#note finally able to accomplish something
>Dean_Saldanha: EFIINN D3 FINNIE. +22 263
>Josh_: AEGHISS N3 GASH +56 354
#note lucky as hell. I can also consider playing GASHES in the same spot, which is really good, as only an O hooks onto the S, and if he immediately does that, it's hard to imagine him going out with 4. GASHES seems like it might actually outrun better. #questionable
>Dean_Saldanha: ESZ O6 SEZ +44 307
>Josh_: BEIRSTV 14G R.V +8 362
#note this was really bad, since I totally missed the F in FINNIER as a possible bingo lane. A number of things play through that F and score more than the ones through the E I am playing through. I lose 2/3 times any of MANFULLY, ARTFULLY, SULFONYL or UNFAIRLY are played, luckily escaping if Dean draws the V, since he is stuck. I barely escape if he plays NOVELLA 2E. This might still be correct, since it does block the E, but it was not nearly as airtight as I thought. I figured (O)BITS 12A would be enough to outrun anything.
>Dean_Saldanha: ?ANVY A1 NAvVY +47 354
>Josh_: BEIRSTU 12A .BITS +35 397
>Dean_Saldanha: LLO 4C L.LO +4 358
>Dean_Saldanha: (ERU) +6 364
#note this is the game that clinched it. What a mess I, and also this game, was.
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