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#character-encoding UTF-8
#player1 Katya_Lezin Katya Lezin
#player2 David_Weisberg David Weisberg
>Katya_Lezin: JOT 8G JOT +20 20
>David_Weisberg: AEFLLPT J6 FLAP +28 28
>Katya_Lezin: DMO 9F DOM +21 41
>David_Weisberg: ACEELTU 10F ETA +25 53
#note Sims evenly with 10G EAU 18. This was a close call but I went with the points.
>Katya_Lezin: ?AGRSST 11H STAGeRS +70 111
>David_Weisberg: ACELUWZ E10 WUZ +37 90
#note I missed M9 WURZEL 44, which sims over 2 points ahead of WUZ. The triple is a bit less dangerous now that she's played two S's and a blank and has a random rack. Quackle says I bingo 31% after WUZ vs. 15% for WURZEL, but Katya's average next turn is the same after either play, probably due to much easier Z plays after WUZ. I agree with the sim and would go for WURZEL, which also preserves bingo lines on the L and N columns.
>Katya_Lezin: AAN 12D A.AN +26 137
>David_Weisberg: ?ACEILW 13B CAW +21 111
#note I saw N4 WAVICLES 64 but wasn't sure of it. I also missed M4 CRAWLIER 67, which I wouldn't have been sure of had I seen it. Oddly though, I missed the better spot, 13F WAVICLE 71, which might have influenced me to try it for 7 more points and better positioning. My play sims about 13 behind WAVICLE.
>Katya_Lezin: HIM 12J HIM +30 167
>David_Weisberg: ?EGILRR N4 GRILlER. +62 173
#note The sim favors passing up the bingos with 13I LIGER 29. 14C GLARIER 68, which I missed, is next at 2 points behind. I considered N8 GRISLIER but didn't care for slotting the R in the 3x3, though it is 8 points more, so I took a few minutes deciding. It sims a fraction of a point behind GLARIER. My bingo sims 7.5 behind LIGER. Apparently I bingo 54% of the time after LIGER, but drawing 5 new tiles to R? and only scoring 29 while behind 56, on a not very open board, seems like a hard sell to me. GRISLIER does open a second triple, albeit not a very good one, but it may take some of the sting out of her likelier plays through the R, so I can see it being the play. The J and the Z being gone also helps.
>Katya_Lezin: ADIQ O1 QADI +49 216
>David_Weisberg: IIOORUU -IIOOUU +0 173
#note My actual rack!
>Katya_Lezin: EPY 8L YE.P +36 252
>David_Weisberg: BEEINRR M6 BE.R +18 191
#note 13I BINER 34 is best by a lot here. I didn't remember this one. 13H BRINER 32 is next at 8.5 behind, a huge difference explained not only by the extra 2 points and ER synergy, but by BRINER restricting row 14 for bingos much more. My play is 14.5 behind BINER.
>Katya_Lezin: TTU 13K TUT +14 266
>David_Weisberg: EEGIINR K4 GIE +13 204
#note Very difficult turn. I did what seemed standard, score a few points, keep a strong and open a new bingo line (the G favoring my EINR leave) without giving too much back, with row 14 open for other bingos. However, the top simming play is O8 PI 7. This seems suspect to me, as a human will play more defense against this than the computer, and likely seek to block row 14, either with plays ending in C or V on row 14 itself, or something else on row 13.
Simming evenly with PI is 6I IF 5. A human play would also play more defensively against it, but the new line it creates makes that more difficult. It's more a roll of the dice type play, and Quackle says I bingo 59% of the time with it. I hadn't noticed til now that an E draw would allow 14E GREENIE 67, and an O draw woul allow B6 EROGENIC 65, E and O being my likelist single tile draws. Therefore it's a vey strong fishing play, which takes some calculation to notice.
B12 ICE 10, aggressively forking the board, comes 2 points behind PI, but not having a hook tile for ICE made this much less appealingt when I noticed it. All things considered, I think IF is the play.
>Katya_Lezin: FO L4 OF +21 287
>David_Weisberg: EEIINNR B11 NI.E +12 216
#note The duplication continues. Now it seemed I had no choice but to play through the C and fork the board. The sim prefers 7H NIL 14 by 3 points, but I'm hard-pressed to see why, since it allows her to continue closing down the board and only scores 2 more. I need the volatility, so I'll stick with NICE.
>Katya_Lezin: ELV 14D LEV +20 307
>David_Weisberg: EIIINNR 2L INI. +8 224
#note Take your pick from AARGH, AARRGH, or AARRGHH.
>Katya_Lezin: AKY A10 YAK +28 335
>David_Weisberg: EEINNRU C5 NEURINE +62 286
>Katya_Lezin: CDU 8A CU.D +27 362
>David_Weisberg: EELNOSV 1F ELEVONS +86 372
#note Unbelievable situation. I've drawn a second bingo right out of the bag, ELEVONS, the only bingo, and it plays at both 1F for 86 and E2 for 78. Both spots allow X plays of 50 or much higher. It seems it will come down to who has the X after I bingo. As expected, my placement sims much better, but I only win about 36% of the time after it.
>Katya_Lezin: DEIOSTX 2B DETOX +83 445
>David_Weisberg: ABHOOOR 1A HORA +32 404
#note Saw 3A BOHO 33 but wasn't 100% on it in the moment.
>Katya_Lezin: IS 15C IS +11 456
#note 3B SI 14
>Katya_Lezin: (BOO) +10 466
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