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#character-encoding UTF-8
#player1 Chris_Grubb Chris Grubb
#player2 Noah Noah
>Chris_Grubb: ABIIL H4 BIALI +20 20
>Noah: BDEHIIV I3 VIDE +21 21
>Chris_Grubb: GOT G3 TOG +15 35
>Noah: ABHIQRW F2 QI +33 54
>Chris_Grubb: EPTW E3 WEPT +24 59
>Noah: ABHIRTW D1 WITH +45 99
>Chris_Grubb: AELMRTZ 3I .ARLET +18 77
>Noah: ABCFNNR 1A BRA.N +30 129
#note Didn't know what VARLET could have kept. First wondered about an S, but that didn't look plausible, then maybe didn't think about it that much. I think I realized the next turn that it could be a Z setup - and indeed, Chris said he kept MZ. Addition, 10/26/22: If I'm confident enough that Chris has a Z here, I should probably play FRANC K2. Not sure where the line is, if you use sim win% as a guide, looks like I should be indifferent between FRANC and BRAWN at around 25% confidence that he has the Z.
>Chris_Grubb: EMVYZ L3 .EVY +20 97
>Noah: CEEFGMN 2M FEM +25 154
#note I think I had noticed the Z possibility by now, but maybe didn't think it super likely that Chris had the Z. In any case, I opted not to play FE 2J. Addition, 10/26/22: Using win% from medium-length sims as a guide again here, the line is around 40-50%.
>Chris_Grubb: HMZ 1N HM +45 142
>Noah: ACEGNUX 6A EXAC. +30 184
#note I did notice EXACTA here.
>Chris_Grubb: AZ 2J ZA +64 206
>Noah: FGNNPTU 7A FUG +28 212
#note Sim hates this play. Apparently UNPENT even bingos more than this. The pool does look really strong, don't think I noticed.
>Chris_Grubb: DER A5 D..ER +27 233
>Noah: DNNNPST -DNNP +0 212
>Chris_Grubb: ?CELNRS 8D CaRL.NES +62 295
>Noah: EEGNOST 1K GO +8 220
#note EGO M6 seems better.
>Chris_Grubb: IP 7J PI +10 305
>Noah: EENOSST 10A STENOSE +71 291
#note Intentional phony. We were talking with Alec after the game and found STENOSING is good, to go with STENOSED and STENOSES which I was more confident, so the standard conjugated one-word variants of STENOSE* are all good, but not itself.
>Chris_Grubb: AO 5K O.A +12 317
>Noah: AAEORUY 9A .AYA +27 318
#note Unfortunately, I didn't think about EXACTA here, and noticed later in the game that this would've been a nice opportunity to use it with AURAS, and end up blocking his 2x2.
>Chris_Grubb: EINORST 11E NORITES +86 403
#note I thought I heard him say "interesting" at the start of this turn. Then he started laying down letters at 11F and I was like "is he going to play NORIA???". I asked him about it after the game and I think he said he didn't remember that, there was nothing interesting about that turn.
>Noah: EINOORU 3B OU.... +18 336
#note Took me a while to see this. I don't know that it's right ... things don't look great for me here. Before this, I mostly was considering ROUE and OUR, both mainly at 10K.
>Chris_Grubb: DJOU 12B JUDO +27 430
>Noah: DEIKNOR 10J DONE +18 354
>Chris_Grubb: ?AILNU N9 UrINAL +15 445
>Chris_Grubb: ?AILNU -- -15 430
>Noah: IKR D12 .IRK +14 368
#note My scoresheet says I played the word IRK for 14, so I guess I played this??
>Noah: (?AILNU) +10 378
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