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#character-encoding UTF-8
#player1 Stefan_Kac Stefan Kac
#player2 Jon_Demeter Jon Demeter
>Stefan_Kac: AEEECFR 8F FEE +12 12
#note WGPO Phoenix
19 February, 2022
Game 4
Did see REFACE but couldn't stomach blowing up the rack. Sim has us bingoing 25% after REFACE to 35% after FEE, which is way closer than I would have thought.
>Jon_Demeter: AIDT I7 ADIT +15 15
>Stefan_Kac: AEBCLMR 9A CLAMBER +73 85
>Jon_Demeter: ELW 10F WEL. +35 50
>Stefan_Kac: EUUMPQR B7 PU.QUE +37 122
#note H10 (L)UMPER looks worth it.
>Jon_Demeter: AIGNSTV 13B STAVING +92 142
>Stefan_Kac: AIIMNRS H10 .IN.AM +30 152
>Jon_Demeter: PRT 7G PR.T +20 162
>Stefan_Kac: EIOLRST K7 ESTRIOL +71 223
>Jon_Demeter: OODR L12 ROOD +20 182
>Stefan_Kac: IOBFKTW M12 BOW +32 255
#note Giant whiff on 8K (S)WIFT. Tunneled on BOW because it forces opp's bingo toward the edge.
>Jon_Demeter: ODTY D11 TO.DY +26 208
>Stefan_Kac: AIFKSTX F12 F.X +29 284
#note 8K again. Also again, there is undeniable value in refusing to float tiles to opp here. Hard to say if it is 13 points worth of value.
>Jon_Demeter: IHNY 8K .HINY +45 253
>Stefan_Kac: AEIKRST N2 KERATI.S +78 362
>Jon_Demeter: AEDJ O1 JADE +51 304
>Stefan_Kac: EIOUHLZ 15A HOL. +30 392
#note Didn't even consider playing in the top left, where all of the top-simming plays are to be found. HELIU(M) is probably worth it since it turns over maximally and dumps the U. What I didn't see is that it's pretty hard for opp to bingo twice after HELIUM, and that's all I really need here as I hold the Z(ED) bomb. Tough to get one's head around all of this since it looks superficially like I should continue to avoid floating anything at all. The exciting conclusion bears out the need for a HELIUM type of play in this position.
>Jon_Demeter: UGV -UGV +0 304
>Stefan_Kac: AEIOURZ M3 ZOA +55 447
>Jon_Demeter: AEI?NNS C1 ASINiNE +69 373
>Stefan_Kac: EEIIUGR D1 GI +12 459
#note And now a fine mess. Sim is no help, I suspect. Couldn't imagine UR(A)EI getting it done. Now with robo-assistance, in fact it's the I and N that are the worst threats, not the A and S...but I'm not going to see that in the moment. GE(N)U is pretty good but was too scary in the moment. I didn't consider one-tile plays, of which there are a couple of options which score double digits. To the naked eye that looks to have about the same chances of prevailing as any block. If I enjoyed analyzing this type of turn more, I would get better at it.
>Jon_Demeter: AEO?CGN 4C .ONCAGEd +74 441
>Jon_Demeter: AEO?CGN -- -74 373
>Stefan_Kac: EEIUURV 4A VI.E +22 481
>Jon_Demeter: AEO?CGN 2A CA..NG +26 399
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