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#player1 MV Marina Villena
#player2 JJB John J. Bulten
>MV: AORVY 8H OVARY +30 30
#note 0:44 [24:16] MV has one of the cheeriest dispositions and has consistently interesting games, this being no exception.
>JJB: EEGISUU K6 GU.U +5 5
#note 1:49 [23:11] Best non-trade, with EEIS rated at +2.3 (7.3 total). But ES is worth +10.4 by itself, so trading to that is 3.1 better, and S is of course worth +8.0. JJB's early racks tempt continuing imbalance.
>MV: EOW I6 WO.E +12 42
#note 1:10 [23:06]
>JJB: AADEEIS 6I .A.E +10 15
#note 0:35 [22:36] Fine dump, only .7 behind idea/wag 16, which should be sought here (aa/wag 13 is also fine).
>MV: ?EHLOSW 10C HOWLErS +75 117
>MV: ?EHLOSW -- -75 42
#note 1:14 [21:52] MV finds one of the bingos but tragically mis-pluralizes. JJB knows this one cold and removes it, having fallen for it in the past (ironically, at this point he still has not realized his previous round's game was lost over a mis-plural). MV's rack's net is +35.8 (whether passing or being challenged off). Both players eventually see howlers/wager 84 (too late for MV) and wholes 48, but neither finds woolshed/wo/oe 74. Inability to use the blank will hound MV.
>JJB: ADEEIKS M5 ASK +21 36
#note 4:34 [18:02] JJB luxuriates in analysis, determined to block wager. He notes eke 14 allows leke, aide 16 allows eh, and too much vertical allows an 8; he wants the E too much to notice eked 28 scores and blocks well (also kadi 20), 15.9 ahead of his play. But ask 21 is in error too, because it allows the surprise howlets 89, which JJB did not successfully anagram.
>MV: ?EHLOSW H1 WHOLES +49 91
#note 1:25 [20:27] Now the play is howlets 89. MV finds the second-best rated play (only 14.6 behind), wholes 49 keeping the blank, oddly just ahead of woolshed 74 (blank is worth +25.6 statically).
>JJB: ADEEFIU 4C FEUDA. +20 56
#note 0:46 [17:16] Right location and theory, only .3 behind aidful, and 1.2 ahead of defuel.
>MV: ?IX 3B XI +28 119
#note 1:28 [18:59] Very reasonable.
>JJB: EEEILNO 2A OE +22 78
#note 1:42 [15:34] The right dump! Oleine/woven 21 is 2.8 behind it.
>MV: ?J A1 J. +27 146
#note 1:20 [17:39] Again rightly grabbing points and holding more power in abeyance. MV will need those points.
>JJB: AEEILMN F2 EN.EMIAL +69 147
#note 0:18 [15:16] JJB knows D and T off this rack (Melanie: *me zaftig bod) and rapidly plays accordingly, making up the difference.
>MV: ?OP E4 .PO +22 168
#note 3:17 [14:22] MV is close to bingoing but settles for a decent overlap.
>JJB: ACDEGLO D6 DECALOG +84 231
#note 0:32 [14:44] JJB, having prayed that his excellent from-the-bag find will not be blocked (e8 77), is rewarded with 7 additional points from the new alternate after MV's play.
>MV: ?IILR E9 LIRI +20 188
#note 1:50 [12:32] MV may suffer rack imbalance despite the blank, but is making good work of it.
>JJB: EHINNSU 10G HUN +17 248
#note 3:32 [11:12] JJB really wants a pelican and suspects he is near something, but there is no sunshine (or unhinges), and hunnish 30 is the closest to bingoing but lies unfound. He almost opens with huic 27 (best) but prefers the leave after hun 17 (only .3 behind, negligible).
>MV: ?ATV J10 TAV +17 205
#note 0:33 [11:39] Three other places for vat/tav rate 18-20, and sometimes open more for MV's blank than this. None face any damage from giving JJB additional bingos given his rack.
>JJB: AEINPRS 2H .EPARINS +88 336
#note 2:31 [8:41] Second-best is heparin (worth 44.0)! JJB is conscious of the nonuple risk but it might be worth only 104 anyway, well behind his lead now.
>MV: ?QT K1 Q.T +12 217
#note 1:42 [9:57] Qi 11 might be preferable (3.8 ahead on partial rack).
>JJB: ABEINOS 1M BIO +27 363
#note 0:28 [8:13] Now blocking the nonuple is easy and clears the last hurdle for JJB. Quackle prefers boa to bio by 3.3, but JJB, seeing the choice, smartly dumps the I (three remain) and keeps the last A instead.
>MV: ?D M1 ..D +12 229
#note 4:29 [5:28] MV fishes, very close to a bingo but still not over the hump.
>JJB: AENRRSZ L2 .EZ +28 391
#note 1:12 [7:01] JJB wanted biz 28 but thanks MV for expanding rez into 28. Quackle offers a wide variety of strategies, in order: raze 7a 23 (ENRS), azan 11j 26, zas 13b 36, za j5 11, razor 11a 14, narc 8a 18, rez l2 28 (9.1 behind), sez f12 36. With JJB's leave preferences he could switch to raze if spotted, but would have a hard time swapping to any other.
>MV: ?DN 7C D.N. +13 242
#note 1:53 [3:35] Another dump is ed/od 10 (preferred partially by 2.9), but MV may be undoubling an N.
>JJB: ACENRRS G4 .R +8 399
#note 1:53 [5:08] With dwindling goodies besides the second blank, fishing off R is well indicated and pretty too (cavern 28 rates only .2 higher and is not a good bag fit).
>MV: ?IORY 12I I.ORY +22 264
#note 1:12 [2:23] Ivory is nice if it dumps both V and Y, but here the partial rack indicates 1.2 better bingo liquidity with the fine extension youpon/yo/on 18.
>JJB: ACEENRS 9C C... +9 408
#note 2:51 [2:17] JJB now knows the whole bingo set (recanes: hits miladi) but has no bingo at all. Again consulting the bag he would rather keep all his vowels and allow the hook (s)call for either player. Quackle, unaware that MV still holds a blank, statically prefers playing up to 5 tiles, except for say ye/ya m12 10. (Ace 13m 20 rates 15.0 better but is too risky to spread.) Simulation with the blank is very wobbly given both players' good holds, but as a class the one-tile or EN plays do better by up to 30 points, with nee 13k 20 or eon k11 10 providing openings similar to JJB's directed hook.
>MV: ?GINT M11 T.ING +18 282
#note 1:05 [1:18] Decent move, given that MV has or is about to have both blanks, and assuming she does not miss a bingo here.
>JJB: AEENRST 15G ESTRAN.E +80 488
#note 1:28 [0:49] Both bingos are seen, but sterane might allow embitter in response, and that's enough for JJB to take estrange 80 despite its devaluing hook (without seeing befitted 158 as well). The only 7 possible for MV is fitment, which doesn't go anywhere.
>MV: ??BIMTT O12 MIBs +57 339
#note 1:04 [0:14] Good choice: mibs/imbed 57 are only 3 behind the best, ambits/timber 60 (estranger is a surprise).
>JJB: F 3H .F +18 506
#note 0:20 [0:29] Convenient out.
>JJB: (TT?) +4 510
#note MV's early judgment error resulted in a blank unused on her rack for 13 more turns. The bingo never coalesced even as the board reopened (howlets and woolshed at least were available, but obscure to both players), but JJB picked up 4 natural bingos all from study lists and played relatively accurately. Known points available: JJB 0, MV 6. Overall points available: JJB 47.9, MV 76.7+.
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