Player 1 |
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#player1 jos jos
#player2 jack jack
>jos: AADEEEO -AAEEO +0 0
#note I simmed this in my head and ADE won the sim slightly, but that's not a human play so I didn't do it. #cesaringsuccessfully
>jack: BEINUVW H6 VIEW +20 20
#note I on the star looks better
>jos: DEEGMMS G7 MM +20 20
#note considered M(I)G for a bit, since DEEGS is not a good leave. Even though this restricts him a ton, I only hit a bingo 1/4 times. M(I)G on the other hand, which is 9 fewer, bingos a lot more (around 40%) This was an interesting spot. I like my play, despite hating the G.
>jack: BINNRUV 8E VI..N +10 30
>jos: ADEEGSS 10D DEGASES +76 96
>jack: BCENRUU - +0 30
>jos: ADIOPTW 11C PODIA +30 126
#note I didn't like POW, PAW, or DAW with EW because it gave back too much and left me with too little. This seemed more restrictive and it gave me nice overlapping or reoverlapping potential with the W. WADI sims well at 11C because it gives a bit less back, leading to a more closed board, and OPT is more workable than WT. #questisonable
>jack: BCENRUU 12A CUER +30 60
#note when in doubt, get a phony 4 by Josh...
>jos: EEOTTTW 13B TWEET +39 165
#note CUER* was just so good for me, but I hated its chances at validity. I need to be more confident with 4s, or just learn them finally.
>jack: ABFGNUY 6F GU. +18 78
>jos: AOOORTU A8 TARO. +21 186
>jack: AABFNXY 14E FAX +24 102
#note ...this should be b7 #strategylarge #dumbasslarge
>jos: EEHIOOU 15G UH +24 210
>jack: ABNORYZ 11J ORBY +20 122
#note zayin with an I draw, saves big bingo chances
>jos: ?EEINOO L10 O.OE +12 222
>jack: AHKNNSZ 13H KHAZ.N +52 174
#note hanks or khazen? I liked keeping more 15a possibilities/bingo options, cause I am in bingo range now
>jos: ?AEEINP B2 PErINEA +72 294
>jack: EILNOSU 12L .IL +9 183
#note OLE(O) is cool. going for two bingoes
>jos: ADDINOR A1 DONA +26 320
>jack: ENNOSTU O9 NEUSTON +79 262
>jos: ADIILRS 15A IRIDS +30 350
>jack: ?ACGJLR C1 JAG +35 297
>jos: AEIILRT M9 TI... +11 361
#note I have analyzed this position exhaustively, and can say with almost absolute certainty that there are only 3 permutations in which this play loses the game. The only nonbingo play Jackson can make that ever wins is (A)LB 9A, threatening (NEG)LECTORs or a column N bingo, which I will not always be able to outrun. The only bingo that ever wins is COLLaTE N3. I have to draw QB, and Jackson draws FRY, which plays at C7 for 29 or at 7L for 11 through the A in COLLaTE. He could also win after (NEG)LECTFuL if he draws BOY or BOR, and if ROY, it's a tie.
>jack: ?CFLRTY J13 .FT +14 311
#note C7 FRY threatens some stuff, but it just gets blocked. Jackson was going for JOCULARY*
>jos: ABEEILR 1C .AILER +42 403
#note Better to fish here, but the Q is in the bag 1/3. 2/3 times I draw a bingo 4/8 times, so there's around a 1/3 shot at CALIBRE, BRAILLE or whatever with the blank. I guess it's worth it considering the likelihood I get Q-stuck after this play. #strategylarge
>jack: ?CLOQRY N14 YO +22 333
#note -3 to just Q(I)
>jos: BEL 9A .LB +17 420
>jack: ?CLQR N8 Qi +12 345
>jos: E I8 .E. +10 430
>jos: (CLR) +10 440
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