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#player1 IJB Izak J. Bulten
#player2 JJB John J. Bulten
>IJB: EEHNRSW 8D WHERE +30 30
#note ~0:30 [~24:30] IJB starts this in-family game with one of the 30s (.5 behind wheen, .6 ahead of hewer) for a solid opener. Hewn and when have slightly higher win percentages.
>JJB: DEENRUX E8 .EXED +32 32
#note ~1:15 [~23:45] JJB feels pressured to respond with points, but then misses exed 9e for 1 more. He also did not calculate that ex, xu, exude, redux, and undrew give better leaves (ex 9e 23 with DENRU +11.3 is 4.9 static evaluation ahead of his play). Unsexed, unvexed, and unrelaxed are all good words not available on the board.
>IJB: ILLNPSS D11 PILLS +26 56
#note ~0:50 [~22:40] Best value! Resourceful play of the only vowel on the rack, a theme that occurred a few times today. Simulation likes several plays in columns D (pill, nills), F (lenis), and I (slip).
>JJB: KNOORTU 15D .TORK +27 59
#note ~3:00 [~20:45] Among the better plays, JJB undervalues or under-examines snook (6.9 ahead), stook, stunk, stonk (all simulating well), and snout/nutso; and totally misses strook and outrow (outro doesn't work well). Among honorable-mention extensions (about which more later), he doesn't even look for whereto/whereunto. Even ok c11 19 (compare took/nook/rook) is a good 2-tile fish, but JJB plays it overly safe.
>IJB: EEINSUZ F6 ZE. +32 88
#note ~0:25 [~22:15] The play commends itself and IJB is content to keep up score and clock pressure, knowing his opponent's time weakness.
>JJB: FNNNOOU 14F NOON +18 77
#note ~1:46 [18:59] JJB finds the best play but notices nowhere 13 (not too far behind).
>IJB: AEINRSU F10 UN +20 108
#note ~0:30 [~20:45] Right idea for fishing (or keeping the N with xu), but there were bingos available on the study list: suzerain 69 (31.9 ahead), uneasier 59. The mnemonic is ruin-sea: benzenes dement. IJB acquits himself with the 5-voweled 8 list later in this tournament.
>JJB: ?CEFINU 6D FI. +15 92
#note 3:04 [15:55] And then it's JJB's turn to miss bingos on a study list: uniface 77 (28.5 ahead) and funicle 67. For some reason (probably time), JJB having spotted both fuzee and fiz never gave them a head-to-head, which fuzee should have won (rating 8.7 higher).
>IJB: AEIQRSV E5 Q. +22 130
#note ~0:15 [~20:30]
>JJB: ?CENSUY 8A aNY..... +48 140
#note 3:22 [12:33] Getting frustrated at the bingos he suspects he is missing (sequency h4 63, 7.3 ahead), JJB opts to burn the blank for a nice score and the temporary lead. Just the tile IJB needs. The simple dump ye c12 21 is the best non-bingo, so the cleverness may not have been justified, but JJB is correct with his feeling that several bingos are coming soon.
>IJB: AEIIRSV A8 .VIARIES +83 213
#note ~0:48 [19:42] IJB spots rivieras, then aviaries, then is shocked to find the perfect opening laid out. He isn't the only one.
>JJB: AACENSU H8 .AU +3 143
#note 2:05 [10:28] The value leaders all cash the S in column I because sufficient points are available, but ae 7c 18 and eau h8 3 are among them, only up to 4.7 behind sau i8 21.
>IJB: DEGGHIS I9 GHI +19 232
#note 1:40 [18:02] For more fun extensions, the top play is the rack-balancing fizgig 6d 20 (6.6 ahead). IJB can also cash his S with (EGG) dish i6 39. IJB is reading his opponent as very likely to bingo, both from play and from psychological judgment, and wants a partial block that works better with his rack (he does not trust anywheres).
>JJB: ACENORS J3 CORNEAS +65 208
#note 1:11 [9:17] JJB does not calculate closely enough to find narcose j3 69.
>IJB: ABDEGIS 5H AB.IDGES +74 306
#note 4:05 [13:57] IJB looks at bridge and then has the classic light-bulb, wait a second, I know this anagram. The only bingo. He takes awhile to psych himself up to make the game-changing play.
>JJB: ILMOPRU 8J .MPOUL +39 247
#note 0:46 [8:31] JJB, desparate for points, convinces himself (and his opponent) of the only spelling of amp(o)ul(e) that isn't a word. This brash play rates 6.7 ahead of loups o1 30, but column O generally leads the simulation heavily in terms of regaining the lead because bingo lanes remain stronger.
>IJB: EMNOW N2 WOM.N +24 330
#note 1:09 [12:48] IJB remembers having E on his rack at this point, which would make meows 42 the best play (at least 17.9 ahead). He would rather block more hotspots.
>JJB: ?CIJRTT M7 J.TTIeR +44 291
#note 2:33 [5:58] The recommended fish is now jot 3m 20 (also m7 19), keeping plenty of bingo tiles and lanes. JJB looked for the likes of rioja 57, best winning chances, but it did not turn up for some reason, so he went with a fictional comparative of a real word, jotty (two phonies in a row), that rates 12.3 behind.
>IJB: AEEGILR O1 GEE +19 349
#note 2:55 [9:53] IJB now sets to blocking up hotspots. Slightly better (3.0): gae c12 19, which competes with resail o3 16 in simulation.
>JJB: BCEOTUY L11 BY +26 317
#note 1:52 [4:06] JJB sees the best-rated play, bye l11 30 (2.8 value ahead). The E is something of a fifth wheel to the other four letters in value, but given the need to bingo it appears that by l11 26 has a higher win percentage than anything else (about 15%, about 1% ahead).
>IJB: AAEFILR B10 FA +28 377
#note 0:45 [9:08] Also playable as fag m3 30, which seems to convey a slight edge. Other sim winners are fishes like year 12l 7 or blocks like sallier o5 9.
>JJB: ACEOTUV K10 COTEAU +31 348
#note 0:57 [3:09] JJB has now used enough time not to spot vacua h1 33 (up by 10.6) or in fact coteau h1 27, which rates quite higher than k10. He also has an irrational desire to empty the bag. Vacua, and tav m1 30, top the sims with about 12% wins.
>IJB: AEIILOR 12C O..IA +9 386
#note 5:01 [4:07] This clever underlap gives IJB out-in-two chances, and he really has nothing to fear from opponent's rack as he cannot lose with normal play. His play nets 0 given the followups. Best out seems to be aerial 21, tav 30, bio 12+12, net 15.
>JJB: AADDTTV M1 TAV +30 378
#note 1:41 [1:28] JJB really has no endgame here because his horrid last draw has nothing near an out in two. So even if he did assume that IJB would not go out, he would have no significant help despite finding the best play.
>IJB: EILR 3H RI.E +7 393
#note 3:32 [0:35] IJB saw only riled; JJB saw only relic and iller; neither saw that relit was opened. Rice 7 allows bad 15, el 4+6, net of 2, while relic 9+12 nets an immediate 21.
>JJB: ADDT N10 AT +14 392
#note 1:18 [0:10] JJB selects the second-best play (at n10 14, el 4+8, net of 2, versus bad i5 15, el 4+6, net of 5).
>IJB: L 14A .L +4 397
#note 0:12 [0:23] IJB is just happy it's over with, as beating one's dad is rather stressful!
>IJB: (DD) +8 405
#note The only game of the day lost by JJB, the first-place winner, was won by his son, who was seeded last in this tournament. Automatic best upset prize. Opportunities lost were approximately equal on both sides, and both parties have bingo lists to review again. In the end IJB made more optimal plays and more bingos, and had providentially better synergy throughout, while JJB's missed bingos and triples (vacua, rioja) made the difference. Points improvable based on tiles played: JJB 8, IJB 36. Points improvable based on values: JJB 85.0, IJB 95.9.
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