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#player1 JT Jennifer Tomlinson
#player2 JJB John J. Bulten
>JT: ADEFRRU 8D FARED +26 26
#note ~0:45 [~24:15] JT takes up JJB's analysis offer and shares racks after the game; this game is a good choice, because hardly any bingos went down and the game stayed even at almost all times. Her opening rack allows several good possibilities: ahead of fared, Quackle rates furred (9.3 evaluation difference), fraud, feuar, and fur, due to better leaves (RU rates -5.8 on first turn, while A rates +1.5, for instance).
>JJB: AADENOP 7F APO +20 20
#note ~2:15 [~22:45] Without enough points for apn(o)ea, JJB finds the correct overlap and leave (equal to opa).
>JT: IIINQRU 7C QI +26 52
#note ~0:45 [~23:30] Because of possible bingos with IINQRU, Quackle places if d7 5 as .1 ahead of qi 7c 26. Counterintuitive, but Q options are certainly preserved! But for all intents and purposes JT's play is effectively equal to best.
>JJB: AADEINT 9G AA +13 33
#note ~1:15 [~21:30] Da in the same place rates .1 higher. Honorable mention: intifada 24.
>JT: IINRSUY E8 .IRY +14 66
#note ~0:45 [~22:45] Best.
>JJB: DEEINOT 6E OE +9 42
#note ~3:14 [18:16] This time the D adds 9 points to the play (doe 6d 18), so rates 3.5 better.
>JT: ?IKNOSU 10D I.K +17 83
#note ~2:15 [~20:30] No bingos found in search. One good triple spot deserves looking for another, which might turn up oink f11 23 (2.3 better value).
>JJB: DEGINRT 5E GRID +22 64
#note 0:51 [17:25] Quackle wants to dump one tile, still doe/dif 11 (with EGINRT rated at +25.8). JJB's points grab is 9.3 behind, and nidget 5c 27 is above that too.
>JT: ?ENOOSU -OO +0 83
#note ~3:03 [17:27] The board is not as closed as it looks: the first missed bingo, out of several promising racks, is onerous/od 4h 68. The best non-bingo is sound h1 21; the best exchange is to ENS?; ENSU? is somewhat behind that, and 30.8 behind the bingo.
>JJB: DEFNOTT C10 DEFT +25 89
#note 0:43 [16:42] Good balance. Several phonies were tempting.
>JT: ?CEJNSU 4A JUiCE +46 129
#note 2:11 [15:16] Jus i3 25 leaves such a good rack (CEN? +36.4) as to be worth 4.7 above the double-double juice 46. Though dramatic lead seizure is tempting, 46 is not often enough to play a blank for, especially when the J can be peeled away from it with relative ease. JT seems some bingos, but jaunces, jounces, juncoes do not play.
>JJB: CLNOTTW 12A CO.T +24 113
#note 1:36 [15:06] JJB and Quackle see nothing better than to take a risk on a vowelless leave, hitting the F again; twit c2 12 is just behind but not inspiring.
>JT: AEHNNST A12 .HAT +27 156
#note 1:26 [13:50] Now the S can be used on a scorer like jeans/janes 36 (2.9 ahead) or stanch/snatch 33 or naches/encash 33. Top without the S is hen i9 20; but these all rate close together.
>JJB: LNPRTVW B3 V.LN +9 122
#note 1:07 [13:59] JJB finds the best non-trade, .7 behind trading to RT. Providentially his next draw is a good balancer; otherwise the risk of staying in the loop is significant.
>JT: EINNSSS G7 ...S +16 172
#note 1:05 [12:45] JT picks up two more Ss and grabs one of the typical lucrative S corners. There is a nice 4-overlap, noise b11 24, that rates .6 higher, but the single-S play is very sound too.
>JJB: EIPRRTW H1 WIPE. +36 158
#note 1:54 [12:05] Straightforward scoring, which JJB needs as he lags behind.
>JT: EEINNSS F10 .EEN +13 185
#note 3:48 [8:57] This hard-to-manage rack does have a playable bingo: tennises 77 (or 62), or 51.6 evaluation points ahead of keen. Noise 24 is still the best non-bingo (ENS is worth +13.8). JT opts for an opener that does not contain an S, but INSS does not add value (+12.4) and points are needed rather than openings.
>JJB: AIRRSTU B12 .UR +16 174
#note 0:47 [11:18] JJB considers the perversity of playing turista 8 and comes close to playing arrear/juicer 20. It turns out that our 16 rates 4.9 ahead and plays best due to an excellent leave; but JJB has not gotten any leaves to work all game!
>JT: HINORSS I9 HO +19 204
#note 0:43 [8:14] JT puts out another opener with a weak double-S leave. Add the S for hos 20 and the play rises to second place. Find the higher spot for the anagram, ohs i3 24, and you have the first-place play, 7.2 ahead of initial calculation. Or just play gridirons 22, which is 1.1 ahead of ho.
>JJB: AAIRSTZ J5 IZARS +41 215
#note 2:14 [9:04] The rack bingos are tzarinas and tsaritza. It is probable JJB misspelled the latter, because he was hunting for it but the T on the board was invisible to him. Otherwise he would have thrown down tsaritza 108 immediately, a missed opportunity worth 66.6 points. He elects to triple the Z, but he could have tripled the whole word (izar(s) a6 41/44).
>JT: BDINRSS 11I BIRD +22 226
#note 0:39 [7:35] Definitely time to burn an S. Birds outscores bird by 3.0 value, but the highest is beds/bi/sizars 26, at 9.4 higher value.
>JJB: ?AAABTX K5 TAX +44 259
#note 1:35 [7:29] JJB keeps seeing saxtuba/subtaxa, which is not on the rack. He has the presence of mind to score the Z while tripling the X.
>JT: EIMNNSS 4G M.N +9 235
#note 0:24 [7:11] Now the S can score sen/zas/axe 26 (9.3 diff) or ens/sizars 18 (9.1 diff).
>JJB: ?AABLOW G12 WAB +17 276
#note 2:45 [4:44] Holding the last blank, JJB should be comfy with alow 12l 28 (9.4 diff). He wants to score at 8j but the best there is raw 21 (rabato 41 is not worth it). Raw is preferable to wab on both points and leave, because the B works well to balance out this rack.
>JT: EELNNSS 15D LENSE +27 262
#note 1:33 [5:38] Best-ranked play on row 15. Column L still admits sen 26 with superior leave (3.2 diff), or lessen 39 just behind if you want points. In simulation, lense and sen, and sene and seen in the same place, all win about 45% of the games, so lense may be mathematically superior; but simulated endgames are often suboptimal.
>JJB: ?AELNOU 3G A.OLUNEs +81 357
#note 1:33 [3:11] At any rate JJB has the blank and knows the bingo (alternate: duodenal 68), and his win likelihood zooms to 99%.
>JT: GGNOOSY 14G .OGGY +18 280
#note 3:00 [2:38] In one last irony, JT has drawn geognosy 68 (37.2 diff); although it won't win simulations, it saves tons of spread. Doggy is 12 above boggy and rates second, given that nice leave. Usually the bingo in hand is better, but JT needs more of a killer bingo, such as in row 1, so doggy takes the win ratio up to 5% though it may not help with spread otherwise. Boggy is not a total loser, and is at least ahead of geognosy in simulation, which uses the bingo rack too soon!
>JJB: EILMOTU 15K OLEUM +29 386
#note 1:31 [1:40] JJB has hit upon the best outplay combination, given the opening, after he gives up on his phony options in row 8.
>JT: EINOSTV N1 IN.TOVES +86 366
>JT: EINOSTV -- -86 280
#note 1:43 [0:55] JT opts for the Hail Mary to try to narrow her spread to -16 (or widen it to -134). Better mathematically to settle for rivets 50 (where JJB wanted to play), dit 8+4, net of 38, spread of -68, better than half the difference. Or play stonechat 42 and get oohed and aahed.
>JJB: IT 2M TI +8 394
#note 0:36 [1:04]
>JJB: (EINOSTV) +20 414
#note Very closely fought game with missed bingos on both sides was decided largely by the one that was found. JT had superior racks but more missed opportunities. Points improvable based on tiles played: JJB 3 (izars/in), JT 78 (doggy, rivets). Points improvable based on values: JJB 89.6, JT 234.6.
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