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#player1 JJB John J. Bulten
#player2 EL Ed Liebfried
>JJB: AEIORUU 8H OURIE +12 12
#note 0:38 [24:22] This match between the top two happens early in a small swiss, and JJB needs to beat EL at least once to be comfortable with meeting his rating goals. It stays tight throughout. JJB forms the best word from his first rack, but trading to ER beats it by 6.3 evaluation points.
>EL: AAINP J6 PI.ANA +16 16
#note 4:08 [20:52] Good deliberation, earning a hold.
>JJB: ?AEGHHU 9B HAUGHEd +66 78
#note 0:53 [23:29] JJB plays what he later calls a King James phony. He only gets 3.0 more value than playing the noun haugh k11 34. EL holds awhile suspiciously but gives JJB a pass as well.
>EL: DDIKN L4 DINK.D +24 40
#note 2:49 [18:03] Another hold, another release, but EL is playing good 6s.
>JJB: AEEGLRV K3 VEGA +30 108
#note 2:25 [21:04] JJB holds because he wanted to play leverage for a high score. He writes down gaveler* and graveled, but cannot bring himself to play the valid word so soon after a doubtful past tense that was held. The second-best play is 31.1 behind.
>EL: AJMR D8 J.MAR +44 84
#note 0:15 [17:48] But also note jam 8a 45.
>JJB: BEELLRT E11 BEL +20 128
#note 2:31 [18:33] After not finding the ism for belletrism, JJB plays conservatively (bell 22 rates 1.2 better there).
>EL: COT C11 COT +20 104
#note ~2:18 [~15:30]
>JJB: EGLQRST 11I Q.T +24 152
#note 0:12 [18:21]
>EL: MU 10A UM +23 127
#note ~0:53 [14:37]
>JJB: EFGLRSZ B12 FEZ +39 191
#note 0:25 [17:56] Points fly quickly back and forth.
>EL: ENTV 4G VENT.. +11 138
#note 1:23 [13:14]
>JJB: GIILRSU L11 SIGIL +27 218
#note 1:07 [16:49] IU dumps are as strong as II dumps: iglu 12k keeps the S for 1.5 better leave.
>EL: ANW 15L .AWN +21 159
#note 1:11 [12:03]
>JJB: ADDERUW H1 WAD.D +30 248
#note 1:11 [15:38] Keeping the consonant (wade 24) gets another 1.4 value. But JJB is racking up a bingo-proof lead.
>EL: BEEI 13I BEI.E +22 181
#note 0:27 [11:36] EL knows the R hook, JJB is uncertain.
>JJB: EOORRTU 14E TOURER +24 272
#note 5:57 [9:41] The hook would allow (out)row 31/21 in column N, which both rate ahead of the clever tourer 24, by up to 13.4. JJB rightly declines outer 17, over 15, reno 14, and ire 19.
>EL: OY 8A YO +23 204
#note 0:37 [10:59]
>JJB: CIOOOTY O10 TYCOO. +14 286
#note 0:43 [8:58] JJB is happy to keep turning over tiles. Quackle would play the simplistic oi 14n 16 and claim 8.1 better leave.
>EL: EX 10F EX +27 231
#note 2:27 [8:32] EL misses an opening JJB was staring at, xi/xu 34, apparently a more reasonable play given his next.
>JJB: FIIILOT 2F FI.T +15 301
#note 1:30 [7:28] 8 in bag is a good time to exchange all; JJB soldiers on for 10.8 less value. Ion i2 10 takes second place.
>EL: ?ENOPRS N4 PERSONa +61 292
#note 3:35 [4:57] Given JJB's rack, necropsy 89 wins easily, but its overall wins are about 70%. Persona 61 is rated behind about 40 fishes, and it loses given JJB's rack or almost any other. Top fishes, holding even with necropsy if one doesn't see that, are sprog e5 25, porn 7e 9, and gipon 5k 8. Interesting that bingo choice makes a big difference here: the 28 spread points lost cannot be picked up with the 1-point tiles remaining.
>JJB: AIILLOS O1 LILOS +25 326
#note 5:23 [2:05] JJB works out that declining to block column O generally loses; the best plays (tied) are ilial, lilos, ollas, and salol.
>EL: AENRS 3B SNARE +15 307
#note 3:22 [1:35] EL cannot do better than a 15-point loss now.
>EL: (AI) +4 311
#note EL's play was fine for holding even with the need to bingo at the end: but he missed an important challenge opportunity, and when his bingo came he did not look for the winning play (necropsy) but played for 28 points less. JJB missed graveled but made better use of hotspots to pull ahead slowly and defend against the weaker bingo. Points improvable based on tiles played: JJB 0, EL 28. Points improvable based on values: JJB 73.8.
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