Player 1 |
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#player1 JJB John J. Bulten
#player2 EA Elspeth Abbate
>JJB: AENPRRV 8D VAPER +28 28
#note 0:38 [24:22] This new word receives a mild hold.
>EA: EZ F6 ZE. +34 34
#note 0:51 [24:09]
>JJB: ANNNRST G6 AN.NT +21 49
#note 1:17 [23:15]
>EA: ETT 7E T..ET +10 44
#note 0:51 [23:18]
>JJB: AHLNRSX H4 LAX.. +32 81
#note 0:50 [22:25] Many easy decisions at the start.
>EA: EKR E7 ..KER +18 62
#note 2:15 [21:03] Ties with trek 10g.
>JJB: AACHNRS J1 ANARCHS +78 159
#note 0:32 [21:53] JJB correctly throws trashcan* (10g) in the ashcan (h10 47); this 7 only plays through barchans and handcars.
>EA: HO I2 OH +20 82
#note 1:52 [19:11] Could have been ho 13 21 if blocking were not important.
>JJB: IMMOSSY 3I ..MMY +30 189
#note 4:01 [17:52] This rack allows the beauties mimosa 1e 36 (8.4 better valuation) and yomim d10 31. Quackle also prefers my h1 27, which JJB discounted.
>EA: IQ H1 QI +36 118
#note 0:30 [18:41]
>JJB: IOOSSUW D8 .OW +20 209
#note 2:37 [15:15] Burning an S is indicated: woos 12b 24, 4.2 diff.
>EA: BEEOR 1J .EROBE +27 145
#note 1:04 [17:37] Great dump, and apparently a great leave.
>JJB: ?DIOSSU 12E StUDIOS +69 278
#note 4:03 [11:12] No improvement found in the time taken: it was only missound l3 72. JJB leads by 133 but is about to draw numerous duplicates.
>EA: ?AEGINW 10G .WEAkING +67 212
#note 0:44 [16:53] The killer play is wea?ing c9 98 (taking NRV); even we and wae rate just above tweaking.
>JJB: IIJORTT M7 JOI.T +21 299
#note 2:20 [8:52] Decent find at cost of more time.
>EA: DL 8M .LD +12 224
#note 2:02 [14:51]
>JJB: AIILRTU M7 .....URAL +32 331
>JJB: AIILRTU -- -32 299
#note 0:32 [8:20] JJB confidently bangs down a phony extension; he may have been creating a pseudo-anagram of journalist. If challenged, this rates 27.8 behind duit h12 15, a fine balancer.
>EA: DE M7 .....ED +30 254
#note 0:40 [14:11] EA wanted that spot too; she holds, then challenges at 20 seconds before JJB can draw.
>JJB: AIILRTU 5J .URIA +14 313
#note 0:37 [7:43] Now only 3.8 behind duit, selected for no satisfactory reason.
>EA: AY C9 YA +29 283
#note 1:45 [12:26] EA continues her catchup by noting the C column. Can JJB win another blitz game?
>JJB: IIILOTU L3 .I.I +12 325
#note 0:31 [7:12] Toluid/curial 16 is clever enough to rate .5 better, and JJB could have held that rack a bit better. Duit is now third.
>EA: AFF H12 .AFF +33 316
#note 0:43 [11:43] Continuing in the thirties.
>JJB: GILORTU 14H .UG +11 336
#note 2:43 [4:29] Toluid still plays, but iglu/curial 15 is 4.2 ahead of JJB's choice (leaves have almost identical score). No bingo lanes remain but JJB has drawn no power and plenty of dupes.
>EA: NOP C9 ..PON +20 336
#note 1:00 [10:43] One bingo, one successful challenge, 3-4 bad draws by opponent, and time pressure have allowed EA to tie after a 133-point deficit!
>JJB: IILORTT 4D TRIL. +10 346
#note 1:29 [3:00] In his dislike for liquids JJB takes a leave worth -1.1 when he could either risk an opening (toil/loti n12 13 rate best, 11.3 diff, but column B is almost identical) or play triol 4d 10 for much more tractable leave (+5.1).
>EA: LV N4 L.V +14 350
#note 1:34 [9:09] EA holds the scorers and probably the S, and can afford to leave one in the bag.
>JJB: DEEINOT N10 .ODET +22 368
#note 2:21 [0:39] At this point oe o4 14 (4.9 diff), die o3 16, and ed 2n 17 all win 8/8 of the simulations, while godet wins 5.5/8, but that can be deceptive. JJB has neglected column O and opted for points and some hope of going out, although these both might be better achieved with the sneaky ditto 11j 25, the highest scorer. EA's actual best response to godet nets 28, so godet nets -6 and loses by 10 with O in bag and best play. With O in bag, ditto 25 can also be defeated by such setups as beg b12 18, oe o4 14 (not nee 12), cues 3c 18+4, net of -1; the three simulation winners all fall to begs b12 20 and cue 3c 14 (simulation win probably relates to strong responses only to opponent's best static plays). So while JJB might have a win somewhere in this incomplete-knowledge situation, it is unclear what his actual win percentage will be.
>EA: BCEEGSU B12 BEG +18 368
#note ~2:29 [~6:40] Solving EA's puzzle involves finding the highest out-in-two pair first. Beg/bug b12 18 have 6 and 3 well-distributed outplays; with reply eon 15, cues/cees 18+2, they yield 23 net to EA. But, among many other pairs, cues 3c 18 yields a setup among its 3 outs, allowing eon 15, beg 5c 23+2, net of 28, so the setup rates 5 better. So EA chose the right words in the wrong order (and wrong places).
>JJB: EINO 5D OE +10 378
#note 0:21 [0:18] JJB throws tiles down, reducing EA to ecus 17+4 (net -11), but eon 15, cues 18+2 would net only -5.
>EA: CESU 15K CUES +15 383
#note ~1:54 [4:46] And ecus is 2 better, but the win has been eked out from an amazing deficit.
>EA: (IN) +4 387
#note The old motto, thirties and a bingo, works to get EA 142 spread points in the second half, while she draws a steady stream of moderately powerful racks and JJB draws unhelpfully. But JJB, who began with 4 optimal plays, should neither rush extensions nor delay bingos, should squeeze every point, and should close while ahead. EA's endgame was not far from optimal and was sufficient to overcome JJB's bag emptier. Points improvable based on tiles played: JJB 9, EA 39. Points improvable based on values: JJB 74.1.
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