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#player1 Nigel_Richards Nigel Richards
#player2 David_Koenig David Koenig
>Nigel_Richards: AIKRT H8 TRAIK +28 28
>David_Koenig: AELLNTT 12H .NELT +18 18
#note Quackle approves. No place for TALLENT.
>Nigel_Richards: AEINOPR 8G A.ROPINE +61 89
#note Nigel didn't hesitate to make this risky play, taking much less time than on his opening play.
>David_Koenig: AELOQST O5 QATS +72 90
#note Obviously.
>Nigel_Richards: ABDGIR M3 BARDI.G +28 117
>David_Koenig: EEILNOO L3 OLEO +21 111
#note Quackle approves.
>Nigel_Richards: ?BDEGOR 13B BODGERs +81 198
>David_Koenig: EHIINSU N1 HUI +17 128
#note It's a close call between my play of HUI and UH, which scores 12 more points but leaves the second I on the rack. Quackle sim favors UH by about 2 points, but I'm going to overrule it here, and the main reason is the score. In an even game, I would be okay with UH, but given how much I'm trailing by, I need to play more aggressively for bingos while the board is still open.
>Nigel_Richards: ADEV 12A VADE +37 235
>David_Koenig: EGINNSS 7B ENSIGNS +73 201
#note The only way the bingo plays.
>Nigel_Richards: AEELLST 5E TEASELL.. +86 321
#note Vintage Nigel.
>David_Koenig: EHOOORV 4A HOOVE +32 233
#note Sim is not a lot of help here. There are several plays that get equity scores that are close, but no matter what I do the computer thinks I am only winning less than 2% of the time. I don't buy its claim that HOOVER is preferable. However, there is one alternate play that I did not consider in the game but which I like, and that is 14B OOH. Though I don't usually want to keep a V, the OVER leave is bingo prone. But there's another reason that OOH makes a good choice, namely that it leaves the board more open for bingos. HOOVE shuts down the B and C columns, and there are no bingo possibilities on row 3 because of the V.
>Nigel_Richards: AWX 14A WAX +47 368
>David_Koenig: IIJORUY H1 ROJI. +39 272
#note Quackle approves, but after my post-HOOVE draw and Nigel's WAX play, this game is already effectively over. Quackle thinks I am 0.16% to win after ROJIS, which is still better than any other option.
>Nigel_Richards: MPU A1 UMP. +33 401
>David_Koenig: DITTUWY 1K WIT.Y +45 317
#note Clearly best.
>Nigel_Richards: AOZ 6B ZOA +67 468
>David_Koenig: CDEFNTU E10 FUD.E +30 347
#note If I were still within bingo range of a comeback, I would consider FEU F12, both because it is hard to block and to keep row 10 open. But since I'm losing anyway, I figured just make the play that scores well while still giving some bingo chances, though I obviously need to draw the blank to hook FUDGE. I cannot win this game. There simply aren't enough tiles left to get down more than one bingo, and Quackle's winning percentages should not be believed. But looking at equity only, FUDGE sims best.
>Nigel_Richards: AMY 8A MAY +42 510
>David_Koenig: CCEFNNT 2G C.NF +17 364
#note Apparently the best endgame play here is F1 CTENE, threatening an out of CONF J7. I hope I can be forgiven for not caring about calculating it out and just making moves to end the game at this point.
>Nigel_Richards: ?EIIRU K8 .UtE.I +14 524
#note Nigel still plays a perfect endgame, of course. He blocks my out of CTENE J10 and leaves himself two letters with a nice scoring out.
>David_Koenig: CENT J7 C.NE +13 377
>Nigel_Richards: IR F3 IR. +15 539
>Nigel_Richards: (T) +2 541
#note Not counting the endgame when I wasn't bothering to calculate, this is the most accurate game I've ever played against Nigel. As I mentioned earlier, I still prefer HUI to UH, but even if you don't agree it's at most a two point error. OOH is a bit better than HOOVE, mostly for board control, but again we're talking in the neighborhood of a two to three point error. Other than that, I played pretty much perfectly. But I was never in it. I guess when the tiles don't go your way, you don't have that much equity to lose.
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