Game Details
Player 1
#player1 Ayotunde_Adeyeri Ayotunde Adeyeri
#player2 Mina Mina
>Ayotunde_Adeyeri: BFI 8G FIB +16 16
>Mina: ?CHIIMW 7E WHIM +23 23
#note Easy call -- by far the top-simming play.
>Ayotunde_Adeyeri: ?APRRST J2 PARRoTS +73 89
#note His best possible bingo.
>Mina: ?BCIOUX 4I B.UX +26 49
#note Again, easily the best play.
>Ayotunde_Adeyeri: EY E5 YE. +18 107
#note (There were two more lucrative ways to dump the same tiles.)
>Mina: ?CEINOY D4 COY +26 75
#note I missed a bingo! Didn't know O(X)YgENIC, and it's not that guessable given that the common-language adjectival form of nitrogen is nitrogenous. Then, I would have thought that my play was second best, but Quackle prefers (U)EY for only 20 because of the leave CINO?. It doesn't seem worth it to sacrifice 6 points for that leave, when a leave of ?EIN looks perfectly great to me.
>Ayotunde_Adeyeri: AEGINRT C5 TEARING +72 179
#note (GRATINE or GRANITE in the same spot score one point more.)
>Mina: ?DEEINN 2H rE.INNED +70 145
#note I had to guess on it, but yes, I picked the best possible play. The only other bingo available was (B)EfINNED, what a cool word, but it only sims eighth best. Indeed Quackle likes 8A DE(R)N almost as much as it likes rE(P)INNED, with their dynamic valuations only about 0.3 point apart -- probably because re(P)INNED is so dangerous. But I LIKED its volatility because I knew I'd still be 34 points behind after my bingo.
>Ayotunde_Adeyeri: OOR O1 O.OR +18 197
#note (Interestingly 3L OOR scores more and blocks the triple almost as effectively.)
>Mina: AENNOOV 1C NOVENA +33 178
#note Quackle prefers 1D NOVAE for 30 keeping NO. Yeah I guess I can see that O is an inferior leave to NO; I just wanted to narrow our score gap as much as possible. The dynamic valuation of NOVENA is only 1.3 points less than that of NOVAE, so my choice isn't awful at all.
>Ayotunde_Adeyeri: ILO D10 OIL +11 208
>Mina: ADDIKOS 8A DI.K +42 220
#note On this move, I certainly considered whether I should tack the S on the back, pluralizing YEW to add 13 points to my score of 42. I decided against it, because I figured I'd need that S elsewhere. Quackle somewhat confirms my difficult decision, but its top-simming play is DO(R)K instead of DI(R)K, which is odd because I like to try to get rid of I's. Does ADIS really have better synergy than ADOS?? Of note, DO(R)K and DO(R)KS only sim 0.2 point apart, but DO(R)K sims 4.6 points above DI(R)K!!!! As it turns out, Ayo drew three of the S's and this was the only S I would draw, so I'm retrospectively glad I saved it for a bingo.
>Ayotunde_Adeyeri: ILOR E10 ROIL +21 229
>Mina: ADEEEOS -EEO +0 220
#note Oops. Turns out exchanging was the wrong thing to do. SO THIS IS THE MISTAKE THAT ENDED UP COSTING ME THE GAME. Quackle says I should have played 3L OE for 18 and indeed I didn't even look there. Inexplicable. This was a twenty-point mistake and I ended up losing by 24.
>Ayotunde_Adeyeri: CI A6 CI. +6 235
>Mina: ADDEEST 14E SEDATED +68 288
#note I also saw STEADED but wasn't 100% on it. The two sim pretty similarly. There were two other lesser bingos here, (B)EDSTEAD and the surprising (B)ESTADDE!
>Ayotunde_Adeyeri: AFIL 15G ALIF +37 272
>Mina: GHLOTTT N1 H.LOT +17 305
#note Tough move. I wrote "toth?" in the margin on my scoresheet but I'm glad I didn't take a chance on it, as it's phony. Of course I knew it would have been ideal to play off two of the three T's. I just didn't know the word TOLT, which Quackle notes is the best play at 13J. Second best is 5H TO(R)T. At least my find is third-best; it's valuated as a three-point mistake.
>Ayotunde_Adeyeri: NOS F4 NOS. +25 297
>Mina: EGJTTUU K9 JUTTE. +28 333
#note Even though my play is the highest-scoring possible, simulation only ranks it third-best, to my surprise. 13J TEGU for 19 leaving JTU is preferred by a 7.5-point margin, which I don't understand AT ALLLLL, and 2A GJU for 24 leaving ETTU beats out JUTTED by a 3.8-point margin: why?!?
>Ayotunde_Adeyeri: AEQU 12H QUA.E +48 345
#note Was I somehow supposed to anticipate this as a possibility, even though my play left six tiles in the bag still? Is that why JUTTED was so bad? What is this, chess?
>Mina: AEEGGUV L8 VAG +23 356
#note Two tiles remain in the bag, so this is where you're supposed to sim many-plies instead of 2-plies, right? The winning play is L6 GUGA, a four-letter word I have never seen in my life! I can see how it's better if I had known it. Quackle gives GUGA a 17% win percentage and it gives VAG a less than 3% win percentage. Its second favorite play is G10 VAE, and I'll tell you this, I definitely saw the E(QUATE) hook at this juncture but I purposely refrained from playing it because it would allow him to back-hook EQUATE for a high score. Is it right I was punished for that foresight? The way I saw it, he just got a lucky last rack that I couldn't possibly block.
>Ayotunde_Adeyeri: AEMPSWZ 5H WA.M +30 375
#note (Championship Player prefers 2B ZEP for 34 -- is that because it sets up MAW right below itself?)
>Mina: AEEGRU 8L .ERA +21 377
#note My win percentage is now 0% no matter what I do. I figured I still didn't want to play E(QUATE) because he could still back-hook it for many points, so I figured I would play off AER for as many points as I could and then save GUE/EQUATE for last. My mistake was not realizing that VERA gave him back a lot of points. Championship Player would have just front-hooked QUATE at this juncture. I should probably have figured out his best reply to VERA and then done the math to see which play narrowed the spread more. Oops.
>Ayotunde_Adeyeri: EPSZ M7 Z.PS +47 422
#note (Oh wow, 7M ZEP would've scored even more.)
>Mina: EGU G10 GUE +19 396
>Mina: (E) +2 398
Player 2
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