Game Details
Player 1
#character-encoding UTF-8
#player1 matt_g matt g
#player2 cesar cesar
>matt_g: EMNUW 8H UNMEW +28 28
>cesar: ACDEGJS K4 GADJ. +28 28
>matt_g: AERX L8 .AXER +30 58
>cesar: ?ACEHIS 13G ACHIESt +98 126
>matt_g: ADILORS 11F DARIOL.S +68 126
>cesar: EEGILRU I2 REGULI.E +62 188
>matt_g: EEY 10F EYE +20 146
>cesar: BFIIKLR L3 FIB +26 214
#note shoot, i considered RIBLIKE but thought i was making it up. i guess FIB is fine though. #knowledgesmall -1
>matt_g: IIII -IIII +0 146
>cesar: BIKLNRV F5 BLINK.. +16 230
#note KILNED might be a tiny bit better. i wasn't totally sure of it either. -0.5 #knowledgesmall.
>matt_g: AI H10 ..I.A +8 154
>cesar: DORTVYZ J10 Z.O.D +39 269
#note this move symbolizes everything that is wrong with my scrabble game (i know that sounds hyperbolic, but hear me out). of course i should try to block, but the only thing that looked halfway decent was ADZ. still, the most important thing here is to ask myself how I can lose this game, and it is by him hitting a huge bingo afterwards, and me drawing poorly to RTVY, and him bingoing again. can that happen? absolutely. if i play ADZ, i force him to bingo at the top; row 2 or 3 most likely. I can then overlap his play, blocking any potential bingos, and i'm still up by a lot, and should be heavily favored to win. i even thought about something silly like VIZSLA being possible but if anything i have the V. ZOOID sims best of course. the biggest mistake i made here, and one that i make often, is not having enough empathy to put myself in his shoes and realize he's likely keeping an extremely strong leave. of course i thought the leave was probably pretty good, but it also seemed desperate enough that ZOOID might just block whatever he has, and that there's a decent chance he missed his fish as well. i didn't think he would have the blank. if i give him AEIS? as a leave ADZ DOES sim better than ZOOID, lowering his average score by about 24. with 4-ply ADZ is still on top. the only issue is that the win% diff is so tiny, yet i'm convinced this is a massive error. #strategylarge
>matt_g: ?AEISTU 15B dAUTIES +95 249
>cesar: GNRTTVY 3F GYV. +15 284
#note it's happening. G3 TRY for the slightly better leave -1 #findingsmall #tacticssmall
>matt_g: EEIMRTT B8 REMITTE. +80 329
#note holy crap
>cesar: NNPRTTV 9A V.NT +8 292
#note i basically automatically lose
>matt_g: ANO A7 NO.A +31 360
>cesar: DENPPRT M1 PREP +32 324
#note we all know i'm not going to draw an S or any sort of balanced rack for the rest of this game. i know it as well as i know anything else. i might actually be the unluckiest scrabble player, not in drawing particularly badly (i draw ok, like everyone does), but in very rarely drawing incredible enough to win anything, so more like, least likely to have great luck. since that also doesn't really make mathematical sense, it must have to do with the way i play. see, people at around my skill level should be expected to have cashed a couple times at nationals in 12 tries. so anyway, here, there's no chance i'm going to get bailed out by something crazy like a giant QU bingo, so this is the worst part of the game, trying to maximize my chances of having something awesome happen and simultaneously knowing with every fibre of my being that i'm going to continue having 1-vowel racks for the rest of the game.
>matt_g: OW 1M .OW +24 384
>cesar: ADFHNNT 14D NAH +31 355
#note don't even know what i could possibly draw here
>matt_g: ACELORS 5D CO. +14 398
>cesar: DEFLNRT G1 FL. +9 364
#note same here. i was going for SNORTED but he's obviously going to block it. gg
>matt_g: AIOOSTU 1E TO.U +21 419
>cesar: DENOQRT E13 Q.. +12 376
>matt_g: AIOS 15J SO +18 437
>cesar: DENORT 15J ..NDER +24 400
>matt_g: AI C12 AI +10 447
>matt_g: (OT) +4 451
Player 2
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