| Player 1 |
|
#player1 rafi rafi
#player2 jackson jackson
>rafi: AEEKLOS 8H OKE +14 14
>jackson: BEGLOTU J4 TOGU. +10 10
#note Tough spot here - I saw OUTBEG but wasn't sure of it. I think I would play OUTBEG/TOKE cause it's just a lot of points. It does give back a ton but also gives back to me, so I think it's worth it.
His range is bingo heavy and slightly S heavy, so I liked togue just to take out the S lane and not give much bag in terms of scoring. making TOKE is unideal cause of all the hooks. It looks really weird and felt weird but I don't totally hate it
>rafi: AEGILPS K3 GIP +22 36
#note spoilage is a big play
>jackson: BEFILXZ L2 BIZE +62 72
>rafi: AADELSW M1 WAD +28 64
>jackson: EFHLRTX K8 HEFT +31 103
#note FLEX/OX is cool cause I keep OKEH and TH- plays for next turn. I also get a lot of -TH? plays at 8A when he doesn't take the spot. I think it's close, cause the X goes with WAX a lot and has okay value here.
>rafi: AAEELSY 12J AYE +26 90
#note AELS strikes again! looks better than YEA to fork and not set up a scoring spot at N10
>jackson: AELORRX 1M .AX +39 142
#note not too fond of this leave but it's pretty necessary
>rafi: AELPRSU M8 PERUSAL +77 167
>jackson: AEFLORR 14J FAL.ER +34 176
#note FARLE is what I usually play here but FALLER felt way more comfortable - FARLE sets up an S I don't have, and Rafi will likely take the 15 row leaving me with nothing. FALLER does raise his average but raises my average by a bit more even, cause I'm guaranteed a scoring spot. LOR is also weaker than OR for scoring. FALLER sims best
>rafi: EGIILNO O12 GI.O +21 188
#note Q likes POI a bit more than GIRO but I see rthe idea of giro. EILN has a G available anyways, blocks a scoring spot and scores more. EGILN is ridiculously awesome but giro has a lot of merit
>jackson: CEEMORR 15G COMER +34 210
>rafi: EEILNQS 9G QI +23 211
#note goodbye yellowbrick road
>jackson: AAEIRTT 8M .AT +15 225
#note I remember seeing AI/QI but I don't remember realising there are only 2 Rs in the pool - it's super aggressive but I think I like it! it's not easy to block and AERTT has good bingo potential
>rafi: EELNNST N6 NE.TEN +18 229
#note NETIZEN is huge here - I remember looking for -TIZE plays all game but never found one!
He liked holding the L here more than the N (so not LATEN) despite the -G lane on row 6, cause L plays on row 10 can score well and give nothing back. NETIZEN does open more for me but still saves the L and scores very well
>jackson: ACEIRRT N1 .R +14 239
#note Type a note here!I sorta liked confusing him about my range here, but my main idea with BAR was to score decently while setting up (X)ERIC for next turn, which often stays open.
Hitting CREATING with 6/38 isn't bad either
>rafi: ELMOSSW 6H WO.S +15 244
>jackson: ACEIRTU G9 .UARTI. +19 258
#note I could do TUI or AI to take a different kind of agression - given his likelihood of having an S, I don't like either play though, cause I give back a place for him to block and score at the same time. QUARTIC wins a sim, and I really liked it to reach for the blanks. there is no real point in keeping a nice bingo prone leave on this board, Rafi is very unlikely to open things up unless he has a monster play
>rafi: DEELMNS F11 DEEM +30 274
#note Lots of interesting options here - MONKS i5 is 37, or just MONK is 22. DEEM is solid, but NEEM is worth considering to shed an N with 3 left, and keep the more scorey D tile.
A big reason to play MONKS is to hang onto the Es - there is only one left in the pool. The pool isn't particularly consonant heavy so it's not imperative, but I think I would play MONKS here. A nice thing about DEEM though is that -ONKS are gonna be often still there next turn, so CH draws are good down the road.
>jackson: CDEHJTV 13E V..CH +17 275
#note I don't think I saw CHEVET but I am not a big fan - the E is of great value for him, both bailing out heavy draws and giving him lots of bingoes as there aren't any Es in the pool. Combined with not wanting to play my case E, I'm more comfortable with VETCH. This makes the blank a cool tile cause it's reasonable that at some point the blank will be used as a K and a scoring play with KVETCH. I liked keeping J(E)T in reserve for next turn, which is basically never blocked
>rafi: ?ILLNSV I5 h.N.S +31 305
#note I think it's hard to justify keeping ILLV here and shedding the blank, the future prospects are just sooo wildly different that honks leads to too many exchanges. (E)L(L)S L12 is probably what I'd do here. NI(DA)L has its merit as well - although it lets me play at 12a a lot for a much better score than anywhere else, that will give back to Rafi as well.
>jackson: ADDEJNT N13 J.T +22 297
>rafi: IIILLUV -IIILUV +0 305
>jackson: ABDDENO E10 BO +16 313
#note He exchanged 6, which means he's about 7/11 to have a blank now. It also means that the 10 tile pool is really bad right now, so I don't want to play long for both those reasons. I could exchange here and go all in for the blank, but with a 4/11 chance that he doesn't have the blank and then a 5/10 chance of drawing it, that's under 1/5 chance of drawing the blank, and I think my odds are good enough with BO that I don't want to exchange.
I would exchange keeping DE here I think, cause I want to hang onto my E and the D is a good barrier against some bad draws (drawing 6 into the ugly pool isn't great, although I want blanks I think DE gives me more assurance in the bad pool).
I just don't see exchanging working out as well - I'm going up 8 now which isn't great, but he could draw some ugly-ish tiles and not be able to score well. ADDEN is a decent rack here
>rafi: ?ILNOOS E8 LO.. +6 311
#note great play by rafi - this aggression is really good cause it puts pressure on me to do something about it. He also leaves 6 in the bag, so if I somehow bingo now he can often bingo out.
>jackson: ADDEINR D3 DRAINED +76 389
#note I felt so screwed here, LOBO has an absolutely monster range, and if he bingoes out he wins. I had him on INOS? or ILOS?, and maybe some stuff like ILNO? sometimes but it was less likely. I didn't really permute anything cause that's difficult with the blank, but looking at the pool of AIILNUVY + INOS? or AIINNUVY + ILOS?, it was at least conceivable to me that he could miss, given IU draws and UV and stuff.
With INOS? implied, Q has him bingoing 78% of the time after DRAINED, which is honestly acceptable to me. With that range, I didn't think something like (X)ED was going to win often anyways, cause he can find a way to outscore with KVETCH or other small plays. He can also keep putting bingo pressure on. I didn't think of DA(L) at the time, which is really interesting because I can possibly hit a bingo after he does. However, ADINR doesn't hit the D too well, or the F column, so I think I'm best off just going all in on the 22% chance he doesn't hit.
>rafi: ?ILNOSY 3B IN.OxYLS +82 393
#note great find for the win
>rafi: (AIINUV) +18 411 |
