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#player1 Jared Jared
#player2 Bryn Bryn
>Jared: INW 8G WIN +12 12
>Bryn: AINORXZ 7F ZAX +35 35
#note Very interesting opening move, especially after WIN. Spent a lot of time debating between OX, AX, ZAX, and AXION. I like AX over OX, because it sets up my Z and I don't have hooks for OX. I figured his range was decent after WIN, and I think ZAX is better defensively. If he does bingo, ZAX scores and keeps the best bingo leave. AXION is another possibility but the more I considered it the more I didn't like it. It just gives him so many options, and he is likely to have something in the neighborhood of ES.., and it actually increases his bingo percentage. Really close between all these plays.
>Jared: ?ABIORS J2 BAIlORS +73 85
>Bryn: DINORRU 9B DURION +16 51
#note Equity play and happy to open this part of the board
>Jared: AEY K5 AYE +21 106
>Bryn: DEEIOPR D9 .OPE +12 63
#note Looks to be simming second best. I need to jump at the opportunity to open considering column L is getting blocked next turn. Keeping RIDE and holding hooks for ROPE makes sense, even if this is a volatile move. I like it more than OPE given Jared's likely response.
>Jared: AGLV 3I V.GAL +26 132
>Bryn: DEEILQR 8A QI +36 99
>Jared: BITT L7 BITT +12 144
>Bryn: DEEILRS 13B RESILED +75 174
>Jared: DEIOT H10 TOD.IE +30 174
#note Such a big hole in my game. Held for a while, hated it, but couldn't justify a challenge. I thought there was a greater than 50% chance of it being bad, but given my rack I'm in a world of trouble if I lose a challenge here.
>Bryn: AEHIOOV 4L HOVE +34 208
#note Really hated to do this, but I think I have to. At least he turned over five last turn, so a 3x3 is unlikely. Praying that he doesn't hit me too hard here.
>Jared: ARY O1 YAR. +21 195
>Bryn: AAEIKOO 11A OKA.I +22 230
#note Probably a game-saving find
>Jared: JMNNORS F5 WU. +17 212
>Bryn: ACDEORT 15A DECORAT. +86 316
#note Huge draw
>Jared: AEENNST M8 NEATENS +73 285
#note Leads to a very interesting pre end game
>Bryn: EILMNNO L12 MIEN +26 342
#note Super interesting move. I need to do what I can to neutralize J bomb threats at J14 (JESSE) and N10 (JET/JAM/JAR/JEFE). I'm surprised LEMON and MELON (E2) sim best, because it neturalizes precisely none of these possibilities. I considered MIEN, and ELOIN (K10 or N11). MIEN does not block TAJ plays, but it scores enough that at worse I'm going to have tempo with 5 in the bag, probably going ahead by about 20 with 2 in the bag. I was also freaked about the possibility that a massive 5 or 6 letter J play was possible if I choose ELOIN K10. If Jared doesn't have a TAJ play, I'm guaranteed to win with a block next turn. The reason I don't like ELOIN K10 is that it just doesn't score enough, and sets up really dangerous set up possibilities, which I expect Jared to find. It's inviting a situation like MOPER/COPER/GOFER set up; I just don't see how I can really deal with that without giving him a play back on column O. ELOIN N11 opens a bingo lane, but how likely is that? Maybe that's preferable, I dunno. It gives him more options to score 40/50 though, and he doesn't always draw into a TAJ bomb, but ELOIN N11 will definitely give him something. I think I like this best, just because it deals with a variety of downside. I think the threat of the COPER/MOPER/GOFER set ups loom almost as large. Maybe I'm being too paranoid about the JESSE possibility. I didn't consider MINE/MENO, which looks good too. They just score too much to be overly worried about opening column O. I think I like MINE best here.
>Jared: GLM 6D GL.M +16 301
>Bryn: ?AGLNOU K10 UN +7 349
>Jared: JT 14K J..T +22 323
>Bryn: ?AGLORU O8 RUGOLAs +85 434
>Jared: CEEFFPS A10 F.P +11 334
>Bryn: H F9 .H +13 447
>Bryn: (CEEFS) +20 467
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