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#player1 higs higs
#player2 Jackson Jackson
>higs: EEIILLR -EE +0 0
>Jackson: ALORTTW H7 OWT +12 12
#note the N and S hooks with the other placements of OWT are a bit worrisome - the W isn't too dangerous to put at H8, and some bingoes may only fit at I1 or G1, giving me the triple.
I did not consider TWO though, which only takes the S. TWO H6 is probably the play!
>higs: ?AAEITV 8E VIE.dATA +64 64
>Jackson: AIKLRST K6 TI.LARKS +74 86
>higs: DFNU 6F FUND +23 87
>Jackson: EGHIOUU E8 .OGUE +18 104
#note damn I missed HUGEOU(S)!
>higs: ?EPRRTV 13C PeRVERT +86 173
>Jackson: INORSTU 12K .NOUT +20 124
#note maybe L12 ION to at least force a block... and those blocks often give me an S hook back. I think that's the way to go here.
>higs: AJLO N10 JO.AL +56 229
>Jackson: ADIIRSZ J10 ZA +64 188
>higs: GNOY H11 GY.ON +39 268
>Jackson: DIIMORS 15B MIDIRO.S +63 251
>higs: FIMTU L2 MUFTI +22 290
>Jackson: AACDNQS 3K Q.AD +28 279
>higs: BBILO O6 BILBO +36 326
>Jackson: ACDENPS 15L CASE +40 319
#note lots of vowels unseen, especially Es, so keeping DNP isn't so bad here. I could do D(O)PA and hope for a large O1 play, but Karl may block those cause he'll still have a decent lead. I wanted to keep the P and not the C cause the P felt a bit better for scoring here (d column, N column)
case wins a sim, followed by DOPE (makes sense cause of the plethora of Es unseen)
>higs: CIS O1 CIS +30 356
>Jackson: DENOPWX 5E POX +38 357
>higs: HN M11 N.H +24 380
>Jackson: DEEEHWY D12 W.E. +24 381
#note fuck I totally missed the PHI possibility at 14c... YEH is 34.
Champ comes up with a super cool play - I3 WED(D)E(d) for 18 - if I draw an A I get YEAH! It also saves YEH 14a in reserve! I draw an A just over half the time.
Q also likes 14B EH over YEH, presumably because it is better endgame timing to leave 6 in the bag so that my subsequent play can more easily leave one in the bag - YEH leaves 5 in the bag, and Karl can play 4 or 3 tiles and make my position very difficult, where I will have to empty the bag and concede endgame timing. WEDDED and EH look like the plays.
I'm surprised Quackle doesn't come up with WEED - the H probably scores more than the W here
>higs: EILR 4J RI.LE +24 404
>Jackson: DEEEHNY F11 NE.E. +18 399
#note I'm not sure if I just didn't see HEDGY or what, but HEDGY and EDGY are both very good ideas that I somehow failed to play. I don't remember drinking too much the morning of day 4, but I hope I was
Q likes HENGE by a mile - 45% win with HEDGY at 15. I think I'm only winning this game by outscoring his out in two, unless I luck into him being unable to do an out in two (which probably requires me drawing 2 of GNR). I can't imagine EDGY doing worse than HENGE in terms out outscoring - only sacrifices 2 now but with significant upside with HEDGY and forced blocks.
if I hit HEDGY, I usually get 35, which is a total of 52 between EDGY and HEDGY, minus 6 from my draw - 46 total. If I draw the G that would be 50 total. Given my 23 point deficit, if I don't draw the G, he needs to score 24 with an out in two to beat EDGY (or 28 if I draw the G). He can also often do an out in two while blocking though, which demands much less of his out in twos.
My intuition is that I need to draw consonants to win this game, probably 2 of them, and so HEDGY is probably the play, since EEN will deal with consonants fairly well. If I draw two consonants I may be able to win with any of the three plays though - I don't think I can win if he can make an out in two.
>higs: AAEEGNR N6 AGE +17 421
>Jackson: DEEHIY 9K .EY +12 411
#note I think I forgot about YE after looking for many minutes
>higs: AENR 14A NE +12 433
>Jackson: DEHI I12 E.H. +17 428
#note lots I could have done differently this game - WEDDED or YEH, HUGEOUS, HEDGY
>higs: AR 1M AR. +5 438
>higs: (DI) +6 444
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