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#player1 tran tran
#player2 Jackson Jackson
>tran: EIKNRTT 8D KNITTER +82 82
>Jackson: AEENOST E5 NEO.ATES +82 82
>tran: EZ J8 .EZ +32 114
>Jackson: ?EIIMTV D4 VIM +22 104
#note Mo(N)ITIVE!
>tran: AEEGNSV K2 GENEVAS +84 198
>Jackson: ?DEIRTT H8 .ITTEReD +77 181
>tran: AHJ D11 HAJ +35 233
>Jackson: AACILOY 14B ALIYA +34 215
#note loved the beautiful i7 AECIAL, but ALIYA seemed like a better play to block the spot. interestingly, LOY is 3.1 better than OY statically!
>tran: OPRY 4H POR.Y +26 259
>Jackson: CGLNOOP 13G P.OLONG +28 243
#note feel like I need to be proactive here in opening the board rather than stall with GLOOP or PONG
>tran: DMU H1 DUM. +27 286
>Jackson: BCNORWW K11 BR.WN +20 263
#note thought about BROW but I don't think I hit the spot cause the N hook is pretty far from the triple. WO(M)B might work better
it seems that my average rack after WOMB is much better than after BROWN. I think I neglected to count vowels here, and there are more vowels than consonants in the pool, so CNRW isn't so bad. even BROW(N) is better to shed the vowel
>tran: ABIQ 15K .IQAB +51 337
>Jackson: CEOSTUW 15A TWOS +47 310
#note or OW. at least I have the 1 row open to threaten bingoes so he can't just block the N column unthinkingly. TWOS still wins a sim but with my deficit it might be best to take OW. Q only has me bingoing 27% after OW, probably cause one lane gets blocked and CESTU isn't that great with the vowelly pool.
>tran: DFU 6B FU..D +23 360
>Jackson: CDEEIIU H1 ....IE +11 321
>Jackson: CDEEIIU -- -11 310
#note so screwed here, I thought about (G)UID and (G)UIDE to go for the bingo, but both give back a lot in average score. At this point I was aware of the vowel heavy pool, and the GUID setup was countered by the CEEI leave that goes south way too often.
I thought this phony was the only way of coming back, but I vastly overestimated my bingo chances with CDEIU - only 8%, whereas 22% after GUIDE! GUIDE does give back a ton but I probably have to hope he doesn't hit me too hard and that I bingo in response. If dumpie kept ACDEI or something it might be worth the shot
>tran: EGLOO 1C LOGOE. +9 369
>Jackson: CDEEIIU 2K .UIDE +14 324
#note I am pretty sure he's setting up his X with LOGOED, so I have to either block with DIE or open up a triple triple and force him to make a tough decision. I felt like DIE made his win far too easy - he just blocks PROLONG hooks and wins. GUIDE could allow me to bingo after he blocks for small, or triple triple if he hits the X
>tran: AACI I7 A.CIA +33 402
>Jackson: CEEIIRR B4 RI.E +7 331
#note setting up another big lane, going for triple triples or hoping he blocks for small and I bingo out
>tran: AENOSUX 3M SOX +36 438
#note Actual rack - I triple triple if Eric draws the L (k(E)RCHIEF), the C (H(E)LlFIRE), or the F (L(E)aCHIER).
Eric has many 5/8 wins, blocking FILCHER on the A column (which I'm guaranteed to have since FILCHER? is the pool), but of course those all lose to the 3 triple triples. It's insane that the only 100% win here has a valuation of -173.6! SOX also wins 5/8, only when Eric draws the C, F, or H, cause my out-bingo won't score enough.
The only 100% win is N(E)XUS, which barely outruns my FILCHER bingoes!
>Jackson: CEFHILR A7 FILCHER +103 434
#note could not believe I won this game
>Jackson: (?AENU) +8 442
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