| Player 1 |
|
#player1 Nyx Nyx
#player2 Avery Avery
>Nyx: AIIOSUY -AIIOUY +0 0
#note Game against Nyx, 11/23/16.
>Avery: AAEHRRS H7 RAH +12 12
>Nyx: EIILNSV 8F VI. +6 6
#note I actually inferred correctly here!
>Avery: AELRSTU I9 ESTRUAL +65 77
#note Assuming a leave of EILNS, this sims well. The other bingos (VAULTERS and VESTURAL) are not far back. With double L's, putting one in the second position seems fine for risking a 3x3.
>Nyx: EEILNOS 12C ELOINE.S +68 74
>Avery: AAFPTUY 15H F.UTY +45 122
#note Considered FAULTY as well, but I'd rather take the 9 extra points. Sim takes FLUTY by a good margin.
>Nyx: DEKMNRV C8 NERV.D +22 96
#note Interesting idea - a draw of I, O or U gives a good play at 8A.
>Avery: AACNOPZ 8A ZO.A +42 164
#note Considered TOPAZ here as well, but I'd take points over a better leave again. Sim agrees.
>Nyx: AIKLMNS J3 MALKINS +79 175
>Avery: ACDGNNP 4I P.DNAG +20 184
>Nyx: EELMOOS L2 LO.ESOME +63 238
#note s t o p
>Avery: ACCHNPR M7 PARCH +30 214
#note I don't think there's much else worth considering, though I could be wrong. CP picks this.
>Nyx: ABEEEJT N6 JETE +40 278
>Avery: CEINOUY O5 CONE +51 265
#note I very nearly tried MATY* here! MATIEST is a form of MATEY.
>Nyx: ABDENTW 11C .AW +30 308
#note interesting call. I guess with a vowel-heavy bag this isn't bad
>Avery: ?DIIOUY 3E OIDIU. +17 282
#note Hard turn, but I think this is the right call. I can't be leaving these I's on my rack with 4 unseen, and the U doesn't help either. Actually, none of my letters really do. CP and sim agree with this.
>Nyx: BBDEINT 4A NIBBED +29 337
>Avery: ??FIWXY 14I .X +50 332
#note Very hard turn here. I have basically every remaining scoring tile except the Q, and if Nyx has the U, it's almost guaranteed a good play with it. I have a lot of ways to score here and use either 0 or 1 blank. My considerations were M3 WAX and FAX, J14 XU, A1 FaWNY and 2B WIFTY. There's a large discrepancy between CP's picks based on win percentage - 2A WHIFFY using both blanks for 63 is the winner at 88.48% win (which I did not see or consider). WIFTY is second at 84.09%, XU at 71.21%, AXe at 14I at 62.12%, FaWNY at 61.36%, WAX at 60.23%, 2F FIX at 58.33%, 2E WYe for 39 at 56.44%, FAX at 56.06%, and then the plays near the bottom of the list go all the way down to the mid 30s in win percentage. I chose this ultimately since a draw of a T will give me WIFTY (with 3 left, it's probable) and if not, I can still pounce on that spot and I leave myself 2F and A1. Very complex situation. Sim is inconclusive as well. Thoughts would be great.
>Nyx: EGIOTTU 11I .OUG.IE +24 361
>Avery: ??FIQWY 2B WIFtY +59 391
#note At first, I was pretty dumbfounded I managed to draw the Q out of all that. But it's actually not bad with both blanks in hand, even though I have a lot of 4-pointers. I still have a lot of choices to consider. 2B QUIFF for 63, WIFTY again, EQUIP/EQUID at O11, A1 QUIN, FAWNY again, and plays at 9B to dump consonants. CP puts EQUID and EQUIP at 97% or higher to win, but that doesn't make sense to me since if I draw a lot of consonants I could easily fall back. I'm not guaranteed a play at M3 or 2F either. Maybe I'm being oblivious to something, but FWY seems disaster prone, even for the extra points. QUIFF is at 97.27%, which I very heavily considered. I noticed though that with a T or A draw (which is about a 50% shot), I could get QAT at 1A and score well. the Q could still score at O11 after WIFTY also, with an A, E or I draw (4/11 shot). I stand by my play, but I may be overlooking something else or underestimating the value of another option.
>Nyx: AEORTTT 1A TOTE +28 389
#note No wins for Nyx. thank god
>Avery: ?AGIQR N1 QuA. +26 417
#note Only two wins for me - this and G10 CINQ. CINQ wins by 3.
>Nyx: ART A7 T.AR +13 402
>Nyx: (GIR) +8 410
|
