| Player 1 |
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#player1 Alan Alan
#player2 Cesar Cesar
>Alan: DFU H7 FUD +14 14
>Cesar: AEMMRXY G7 EXAM +34 34
>Alan: EIOPSTT 11A TIPTOES +82 96
>Cesar: AAEMRWY A8 WAR.Y +45 79
>Alan: EKZ I9 ZEK +49 145
>Cesar: AABELMN B2 NAMABLE +89 168
>Alan: ??DGNRU J4 GRUNteD +83 228
>Cesar: ACIIIRV 4H VI.IA +26 194
#note this or D8 VIATIC, which is almost tied. i think i like taking the points better.
>Alan: ELOV A1 VOLE +33 261
>Cesar: ACDDGIR 8J .RAGIC +27 221
#note 5A DAG sims a little better, presumably because of the significantly better leave. (i have a much higher average score after dag, and a lower opp average score). i think i still like tragic, tho... (-1.5)
>Alan: NQRT L6 TR.NQ +14 275
>Cesar: CDDIJOU C3 CUD +30 251
>Alan: ABGILNS D7 BLAS.ING +74 349
>Cesar: DEEIJNO 13C E.JOINED +86 337
>Alan: HOOS 11L SHOO +22 371
>Cesar: EFHIILS D1 HIES +40 377
#note HIP C9 and 12N IF are better. for both HIP and IF my next score is significantly higher, which means FILES is a great leave with what i have, and looking at the pool it seem as if FELSITE/etc is the most likely thing to draw. i guess it's a close call. i don't like fishing here when HIES catches me up. what do you all think. (-4.3)
>Alan: EOW 12M OWE +20 391
>Cesar: AFILNRR N10 F..L +18 395
#note with a many ply sim, my move is second to ROWAN, which i saw and considered for a long time. i really didn't like the OWE setup with the Y and P unseen, and couldn't figure out how best to block it. if i do FOWL and draw an ET (the most likely draw, although certainly the chances are still low) then i have a bingo. (-6)% my fallacy is not keeping the F for scoring when scoring is essential now. my average score after ROWAN is higher than after FOWL because of the F.
>Alan: AEEOTUY H12 U.TO +15 406
>Cesar: AINORRT 1D .AINT +24 419
#note and i throw away the endgame. THORIA, which i briefly saw but just passed up (apparently, since it didn't have an S i didn't recognize THORIAS AIRSHOT SHORTIA -- i recognized the words as 7s and not 6s) wins 100% of the time. i only had about 3 minutes at this point and spent a lot of it trying to figure out if 14B ARGON won, and figured out that if the E was the last tile in the bag, which is very likely, ARGON loses by one point. then i spent a while trying to figure out if i could fish off the R for ANORETIC and set up another bingo but couldn't figure anything out. finally, i looked back at the H, because i hadn't seen ANY play from it (and i needed to block HEAPY/PEAVY to win) and with a minute left i couldn't see anything better than HAINT and just gave up and hoped i could somehow pull out the endgame. THORIA DAMN IT!!!!
>Alan: AEEIPTY 3K PAYEE +26 432
>Cesar: EORR 14B ER.O +21 440
#note FOWLER (-2)
>Alan: IT C9 TI. +11 443
>Alan: (R) +2 445
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