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#player1 Bill Bill
#player2 Mark Mark
>Bill: ALNPRTX H7 LANX +22 22
>Mark: IMQU I5 QUIM +23 23
>Bill: CEOPRTW J8 POW +23 45
>Mark: ?ACISTT K2 CATTIeS +74 97
>Bill: CEELRRT G8 REEL +26 71
>Mark: BGO F6 BOG +23 120
>Bill: CFRRTTV 3I CR.FT +26 97
>Mark: ?ADGINO E1 DIGONAl +71 191
>Bill: EEHIRTV 1A HIVE. +39 136
>Mark: EY F10 YE +36 227
>Bill: AEINRTW C1 .AWNTIER +90 226
#note +10 challenged
>Mark: EIORU K10 OURIE +15 242
>Bill: EEFLTTV J12 ELF +31 257
>Mark: ADEISU 15E ADIEUS +48 290
#note +20... I held this for over five minutes and ultimately challenged both words. I'm not good at quantitatively analyzing confidence levels and winning percentages in these situations, but I guessed that it was about a tossup if I didn't challenge, I would be a big but not huge dog if I added 20, and I would be a heavy favorite if it came off. I did know for sure that ELFS was not good in TWL, and since I didn't know otherwise in Collins I figured I had to challenge it. I felt like I might have seen ADIEUS, but I was unsure enough to want to risk another 10. For those who don't do Collins, ZEL is good, so the fact that he gets to draw six with the Z out also weighs heavily on this decision.
>Bill: ENNOTTV L12 NETT +25 282
#note Not seeing 2B NATIVE for 40 is a killer here; I even looked at that spot on other turns, but forgot about it the one time it offered the clear best play. I probably wouldn't have challenged if I had seen it. Anyway, VENT was going to be the play if I hadn't challenged, guarding against the Z and hoping to grind out a win on a tight board, but now that I've dug a deeper hole I figured I had to go for the Z myself.
>Mark: DRY N1 DRY +28 318
>Bill: AEHNOOV M9 HAVEN +42 324
#note Wasn't 100% on HOVEN
>Mark: BEOORSS B6 BROOSES +91 409
#note +10... I suppose I should just play this out, as there is at least a miniscule chance that I could get the Z and he's either blind to the ZEL spot or I can score a lot with it elsewhere.
>Bill: AEGJOOP A8 JO +59 383
>Mark: AZ E11 ZA +46 455
>Bill: ADEGIOP A11 PAGOD +37 420
>Mark: AIKLMNU 1L KA.I +52 507
#note +10... I win if it's no good so what the hell
>Bill: EI L3 .IE +18 438
>Bill: (LMNU) +12 450
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