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#player1 Jim_Burlant Jim Burlant
#player2 Jason_Keller Jason Keller
>Jim_Burlant: EILMORX 8H REMIX +44 44
#note Couldn't think of this word's anagram, MIREX, until after I'd hit the clock. MIREX is best, this is next best.
>Jason_Keller: HOW 7K HOW +27 27
>Jim_Burlant: ABLLORZ 6J LABOR +34 78
#note And, after a couple of minutes, I find it. This is best. L3 BOLLOX is also a strong choice.
>Jason_Keller: AGNQTTY -AGNQTT +0 27
#note He kept an R. I don't recall his exact rack, but it sounded pretty ghastly when he told me what it was post-mortem.
>Jim_Burlant: AAIJLNZ I7 J.ZAIL +40 118
#note At this point I thought that, for sure, I was en route to totally bagging him. I cashed the X for huge points on the open, my collection of clunk scored very well on turn 2, and now this for 40 on turn 3 while he was sitting on a random rack. I haven't missed yet and I'm 80% to win in a short sim.
>Jason_Keller: ?AACIRR 12F RAI.CARs +70 97
#note Nice find! The only other bingo in this rack is SACRARIA (multiple placements), but this is his best play. He's winning just shy of 30% in a short sim.
>Jim_Burlant: AAENSTU L4 UN... +28 146
#note The only 8's in this rack are NAUSEANT, NAUSEATE (saw them both) and MANTEAUS (didn't recognize it), and they don't play. I considered SAU M12 and this. SAU's problem is obvious: it only scores 4 points and opens up row 15 for huge plays with those two L's that aren't in my rack. I don't like keeping duplicated A's, but there are only 3 left. Q says I should have just fished off the A with J8 MA, which wins 72-1/4%. This wins 70.5 and is the runner up, a little more than 3 points down.
>Jason_Keller: GMOS O6 SMOG +29 126
>Jim_Burlant: AAADEST 11K AA +10 156
#note I saw ADEST and figured a fish was in order with all the unseen I's and N's. The sim says MAD J8 wins by the slimmest of margins. That wins 70.64%; this wins 70.3 and sims not quite a point down at over 1200 iterations. What followed was typical of the streak I'd been on for most of the previous month.
>Jason_Keller: AFKL 11D FLAK +30 156
>Jim_Burlant: ADESTTT 13C TASTED +30 186
#note FAIL. I was right to not hold the rack together, but the execution was wrong. How do I miss TETS 13F if I see this?
>Jason_Keller: ?ELNNST D11 .L.N +14 170
#note Actual rack. I blocked LINNETS.
>Jim_Burlant: CENOTVY F11 ...Y +15 201
#note He took a very long time on his FLAN play and I figured he was close to something. I thought that if his bingo didn't begin in S or hook a P he wasn't bingoing anywhere so, after considering 13L plays like COVE or CONY, I changed gears and made blocking row 15 my priority. Play incorrectly scored as 14.
>Jason_Keller: ?ENOPST G7 OP +22 192
#note Actual rack. He missed STEPSON or PENTOSE.
>Jim_Burlant: CEENOTV 9C COVET +20 221
#note Played this to somewhat limit his bingo options. If I play on row 13 per the duck (COVE, etc.) he has a very easy line to hit on row 6. This limits him to row 5 (must end in E or A), and to bingoes starting in S on row 14. And the C column is there, but it's not the easiest line.
>Jason_Keller: ?ENOSTU 14H SNOUTEd +70 262
#note Interesting sim result: row 5 bingos, which only score 6 fewer points than this, sim well down the list. The best of the row 5 lot are SUBTONE and CONTUSE, which win 3% less often than this does at a loss of roughly 5 equity. This is Jason's best bingo per the duck.
>Jim_Burlant: GIINOPR 15K PIROG +37 258
#note Best, but still in the hole - 34% to win.
>Jason_Keller: EERSTTW F1 WETTERS +66 328
#note Oh well, so much for this game.
>Jim_Burlant: BEINNQU 3B QUIN.E +32 290
#note If Q is to believed I should take out row 1 and hold the Q. REgardless, this is bleak - WEB wins 7% and this wins 4.
>Jason_Keller: DEIU B2 E.UID +38 366
>Jim_Burlant: BDDEENY A5 BENDY +40 330
>Jason_Keller: HIN 1F .HIN +30 396
>Jim_Burlant: ADEEEGI J8 .AG +28 358
>Jason_Keller: FIOV 5D VI. +12 408
>Jim_Burlant: DEEEI J1 EIDE +18 376
>Jason_Keller: FO A1 OF +20 428
>Jason_Keller: (E) +2 430
#note Jason's comment after the game was over: "Well, I sure drew my way out of this one." Seemed like a reasonable assessment at the time, but in light of the mistake I made on my TASTED play, I have to wonder. Was this game winnable if I play TETS for 43 instead of TASTED for 30? Or does he wind up hitting something like cONTUSE on row 5 even if SNOUTED isn't available? We'll never know. Outside of TASTED, I'm happy with how I played the rest of this one; there was some coulda/woulda/shoulda with no major blunders. But TASTED may ahve done me in. Or maybe not.
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