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#player1 Caesar_Jaramillo Caesar Jaramillo
#player2 Jim_Burlant Jim Burlant
>Caesar_Jaramillo: BENO H7 BONE +12 12
>Jim_Burlant: DENOSUX 11H DOUX +32 32
#note Best. Next best option, I8 XU, wins almost 4% less often and sims 7-1/2 points down. Of note: I7 EXODUS.
>Caesar_Jaramillo: GOY I5 GOY +22 34
>Jim_Burlant: ELMNSUZ 10J MENU +31 63
#note I considered this and 12J MULE, taking this for both the extra points as well as setting up my S. The duck says this is a very close call, but gives very slight preference to J6 MENU for 30, saying my choice wins 0.4% less often and sims 0.8 points down.
>Caesar_Jaramillo: AGINNOS 10A ANGINOS. +63 97
#note Best bingo for Caesar is M4 ANGINOUS. Caesar is 55% to win in a short sim.
>Jim_Burlant: ALLMNSZ A8 AZ.N +39 102
#note Hmmm. I figured that between taking out the A column and scoring 39 points, grooming the rack would have to wait. Quackle doesn't agree with this; the duck says I should play D9 ZILL for 26. While I fully concede AMNS is a much stronger leave than LLMS, it wasn't too hard to imagine a lot of scenarios where leaving the A column alone for the sake of my rack would backfire if I had a bad draw and he had drawn something like EHVY. Q says ZILL wins 44.8% and that this play (the runner up) wins 42.35 and sims 4.7 points down.
>Caesar_Jaramillo: FORW J3 FROW +34 131
>Jim_Burlant: DELLMRS K5 DELL +26 128
#note I debated between this and M9 MULLED. While MULLED clears the rack a little better, I didn't like floating the E and D, which would open up all sorts of plays on row 14. While MULLED is a strong choice in its own right, Quackle agrees with me: this is best by the slimmest of margins. 44.9% to win; MULLED wins 1/4% less often and sims 0.2 points down.
>Caesar_Jaramillo: AIPT E7 PAI.T +14 145
>Jim_Burlant: BEIMRSV L1 VIBES +34 162
#note Counterintuitive to burn the S for 34 when there are plays that score within 7 points that keep it, but I felt that turnover and score justified the play. I saw 8K LIVER but didn't like the BMS leave with the open vowels disappearing, and I thought plays like VIM F6 or 9D MIB gave up too much on the scoreboard. Yes, there's the S hook down the N column but that's my line of last resort; it's not like I'm giving up a wide open run at an S hook down the triple line. Quackle doesn't agree with me - it says I should play F6 VIM and it hates this. Maybe so, but this worked out better than if I'd played what the duck wanted.
>Caesar_Jaramillo: DEI 1L .IDE +24 169
>Jim_Burlant: ?AEILMR F2 MALtIER +72 234
#note Hit the clock and realized the mistake: I should have looked to do something about the B column. B2 CLAIMER is best.
>Caesar_Jaramillo: AQT B6 QAT +34 203
#note Small consolation: My MALtIER error came out in the wash. Had I played at B2 like I should have, he'd have played at F6 for 38.
>Jim_Burlant: CEOOOPU 4B COUP.E +20 254
#note Missing LOUPE 8K. I was concerned about the D or S hook with this, but with only one D out, I thought it was a risk I could take. In reality, I needed to look harder to find LOUPE.
>Caesar_Jaramillo: DRTU H1 TURD +35 238
#note Of course. At least he didn't have JEED in his rack.
>Jim_Burlant: GOORSTY 12C GOY +25 279
#note Too much rack grooming - 12A STOGY! Still in good shape though - 76% to win.
>Caesar_Jaramillo: AHI C4 .HIA +22 260
>Jim_Burlant: EIJORST N7 JOISTER +75 354
#note Heh heh heh. Best legitimate play is 13B JO. This is bogus, but it sims 27 points better than any of my legitimate options.
>Caesar_Jaramillo: EHNW O12 HEWN +53 313
>Jim_Burlant: ?AEFIIL M12 FAIL +29 383
>Caesar_Jaramillo: T J10 ..T +5 318
>Jim_Burlant: ?AEEEIK 13H IdEA +9 392
>Caesar_Jaramillo: ACRRSTV 14D SCART +11 329
>Jim_Burlant: EEK N1 .EKE +18 410
>Jim_Burlant: (RV) +10 420
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