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#player1 Rafi_Stern Rafi Stern
#player2 Ross_Brown Ross Brown
>Rafi_Stern: AILLPTT 8D PLAIT +20 20
>Ross_Brown: AAEGLTU E5 GAL.ATE +32 32
>Rafi_Stern: EHILOTZ 6B THI.ZOLE +92 112
>Ross_Brown: EIKMORU 5I MURK +24 56
>Rafi_Stern: BCEELWY C2 BEEC.Y +40 152
>Ross_Brown: ?DEIOOV D11 OVOID +24 80
#note I missed (or rather, didn't look for) 10A DEVO(T)IOn.
>Rafi_Stern: EEILOTW C13 WOE +27 179
#note Maybe DOWIE to go for spread? ELT is a great leave on this board with this pool.
>Ross_Brown: ?AAEINX 15A AX.. +36 116
#note This time, I did see the bingo, but declined it. Quackle agrees (by 8).
>Rafi_Stern: EGIJLTT D1 JILT +48 227
>Ross_Brown: ?AEEINN 1D .INNEE +39 155
#note Still turning down the bingo; the only one Quackle likes better than this play is A8 ENcAENI(A), by 5.
>Rafi_Stern: AEEGOTW 7H OWE +25 252
#note TOWAGE is simming best, maybe because of ??SSSS unseen.
>Ross_Brown: ??ADEST M1 hAnDSET +75 230
#note There's a nice nine here. Scored as 73.
>Rafi_Stern: AEEFGTY 9G FAG +26 278
#note Thought this was better than FAG or FAY opening the triple.
>Ross_Brown: EMNPRUU L7 UMP +12 242
#note I didn't trust UNPURE to be good.
>Rafi_Stern: BEEITUY K9 UBIETY +26 304
>Ross_Brown: DEINORU N6 NEUROID +69 311
>Rafi_Stern: AEGINOR B1 GOER +26 330
#note Wow, this is an interesting position... I didn't even think to go for a bingo here. If I was playing a 2000+ fishing makes a lot more sense, but is that true against an 1800? Dropping TO/OY gives me a lot of bingoes in multiple spots - I can draw the C, D, and S for an unblockable bingo, and the A, I, and V for bingos through the N which is likely to stay open (this adds up to 9/18). If Ross blocks the N lane instead of the OY hook then I bingo with the F, H, N, or R. The pool isn't bingo friendly for Ross, so even if I don't hit right away, I'm likely to have another chance, although the fish will be much weaker because Ross will know exactly what I'm doing and block accordingly. Perhaps I should make an in-between play like OA(K) or even ZOA? The sim doesn't take into account that Ross will almost definitely block the -OY hook, which decreases my bingo chances by a bit.
>Ross_Brown: ADHNQRR 14J H.DRA +40 351
>Rafi_Stern: AAIINRS L12 RI. +14 344
#note Missed NA(OI), but this is much MUCH better. I believe I can win 95-100% of the time if Ross has the Q, because if he plays it for cheap than I outrun him in the endgame with THIAZOLES vs. his one-vowel rack, and if he doesn't play the Q then I've just created a block for both Q spots. I ran a bunch of sims and it looks like I can even sometimes outrun plays like FOC(U)S(E)S with perfect endgame play. So assuming a random rack for Ross, RID can win almost 80% of the time against perfect play, and more so against any mistakes.
>Ross_Brown: CNNOQRV 2L V.C +16 367
#note I had to hope Rafi didn't have the stuff to block the Q spots, but I had also messed up the tracking a bit.
>Rafi_Stern: AAINSSS 11I IN.A +9 353
#note My play still wins, but I can also play some THIAZOLES play right away to avoid Ross blocking the spot. Then after QI I can get NAOI.
>Ross_Brown: FNNOQR O11 FON +16 383
>Rafi_Stern: ASSS J5 .S. +28 381
>Ross_Brown: NQR 13C ..N +6 389
>Rafi_Stern: ASS O11 ...S +20 401
>Ross_Brown: QR J4 R... +4 393
>Rafi_Stern: AS 1A A. +9 410
#note AB for 10
>Ross_Brown: Q - +0 393
>Rafi_Stern: S 2L ...S +9 419
>Rafi_Stern: (Q) +20 439
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