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#character-encoding UTF-8
#player1 Noah Noah
#player2 Carl Carl
>Noah: EIINOOV 8D OVINE +18 18
#note Quackle sim (I think on NWL20, oops): 1) ENVOI 8H 48.13%/14.6 valuation 2) OVINE 8D 47.95%/14.2 valuation
>Carl: ACEEGNY 7F GEY +19 19
>Noah: AHIORST 9G SHORTIA +76 94
>Carl: ?ACDELN K4 LANCe.ED +90 109
>Noah: ?ABDPRR D4 PReB.ARD +74 168
>Carl: DNOOPSW 12D SWOOP +52 161
>Noah: EIMNSTW 11D .EW +29 197
#note There are lots of decent-looking choices here - two choices I didn't consider but which are high on raw Quackle valuation are CWM and 8K eM. I mostly debated this, MEW 8M (which simmed very close with this), and MEW 13G (which simmed a bit back). WIN L8 simmed best by a bit.
>Carl: DINTUUX 8M TUX +32 193
#note Carl said he also considered XI 13G. PUDU looks like a good option as well, since the X is guaranteed to score at least decently well next turn, with a decent leave on average. Report: 4p/5880it 8M TUX 35.65/30.8, H12 PUDU 34.97/29.8.
>Noah: FIMNRST 13G FIRM +27 224
#note I think I played this pretty quickly and mostly considered FIRM 10B as an alternative. Report: 4p/4232it 13G FIRM 68.46/44.4, 10B FIRM 66.68/41.9, 13G FIN 66.23/41.2
>Carl: ADINOUV 4H VOI.A +24 217
#note Or maybe AVOID L1?
>Noah: ABLNSTU 10B BU.NT +29 253
>Carl: DEEENUY J9 .YE +30 247
#note EYE, which I might be reluctant to play, sims a bit better. Report: 14I EYE 32.14/29.4, J9 RYE 31/28.2, 14I EYNE 30.8/28.2, 14I EYEN 29.89/27
>Noah: AACEILS H12 ..CA +24 277
#note I don't think I considered CLAVI here, or perhaps I saw it and forgot about it. Quackle prefers plays at the top: H1 CLAVI 68.94/40.4, H1 ALIVE 68.57/38.9, H12 PICA 66.69/35.4. Opening two lanes might be a bit worse than if Carl had a random rack, given his fish. Either way, this board feels somewhat rough to be on for the person who gets bingoed on first.
>Carl: DEEIJNU C2 JEU +24 271
>Noah: AEILORS H1 OLI.E +24 301
#note This is probably fine. Maybe fishing could be called for, but it doesn't sim so well. Report: OLIVE 68.18/35.8, LAEVO 67.69/35.4, ALIVE 67.19/34.4, AJI 63.86/30.9, OX 61.50/27.3, 14J OI 61.21/27, JO 59.39/24.6
>Carl: DEEGILN 1F EL.IGNED +61 332
>Noah: AEGLRST 15H .GRESTAL +80 381
>Carl: ADERSUZ 14N ZA +46 378
>Noah: AEHIMNO 2E OH +26 407
>Carl: DENRSTU B8 SU.TREND +72 450
#note I think Carl said he was around 60% sure of UNRUSTED. It seems like the better play to me, though maybe not at that credence level. If Champ is to be trusted, it looks like it would've beaten me in the actual game result - we analyzed the game afterward and I thought I won easily, and Carl seemed to accept what I said relating to results after AAEIMNO, but I think that's because I wrote down a final sore of 430 for him after SUBTREND, and used that as a basis for my calculations ... given that, I'd guess that he wasn't checking my calculations. We may not have ever confirmed the final score, since the game result was clear.
>Noah: AAEIMNO O5 ANO.EMIA +68 475
#note Many column A plays also win, per Champ.
>Noah: (FIIKQT) +44 519
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