| Player 1 |
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#player1 Morris Morris
#player2 Chris_Guilbert Chris Guilbert
>Morris: EEIOSSW 8G WOE +12 12
>Chris_Guilbert: ANOZ 7F ZONA +26 26
>Morris: EINRSST J7 ESTRINS +80 92
>Chris_Guilbert: HIORU 6I HOURI +26 52
>Morris: ?AAELOY 10D ALEAtO.Y +62 154
>Chris_Guilbert: ILLT 11D TILL +18 70
>Morris: CEENTUV 12A CUVEE +35 189
#note CUVEE is the obvious play. I heavily considered V(AT)U too, but I decided 21 point sacrifice seemed a bit steep to keep control of the board and have a better leave. However, the value of VATU is tricky to precisely quantify. I think Quackle would be off here, because in a lot of scenarios, by playing VATU, I will continue to make the non-best equity play in the next few turns (in favor of better board control plays). Quackle says CUVEE allows Chris to score 5.5 more points the next turn than VATU, and would allow me to score 3.5 fewer points than VATU (my bingo chances increase from 19% to 28% with VATU), so that is 9 of the 21 points made up for VATU in just the first 2 moves. Do you think that 12 points could be made up on turns thereafter? I'd be curious to hear others' thoughts on this.
>Chris_Guilbert: DEIOY A8 DIOE.Y +36 106
>Morris: BHLNQRT B9 THR. +32 221
>Chris_Guilbert: DIOOPRT 13G PRO.TOID +80 186
>Chris_Guilbert: DIOOPRT -- -80 106
>Morris: AABELNQ M5 Q. +11 232
#note This is probably a bit too cautious, especially with rack inference. Giving him P(A)DI instead of PI(N)TO isn't as big an upgrade of getting N(I)QAAB for me instead of Q(I). This is also bad if later in the game, he sticks an I at 5N. That's really hard to completely block without an S.
>Chris_Guilbert: DIOOPRT 12H PI.TO +20 126
>Morris: AABELMN H12 .ALM +24 256
>Chris_Guilbert: ADOR 13J .AROD +16 142
>Morris: ABCEGNT O12 BENT +34 290
>Chris_Guilbert: DENV K2 VEND. +18 160
>Morris: AABCDGI 4I BA.G +14 304
>Chris_Guilbert: EFU G13 FEU +25 185
>Morris: AACDGIT D9 G... +5 309
>Chris_Guilbert: IISW N3 IWIS +31 216
>Morris: AACDFIT O1 CAF +29 338
>Chris_Guilbert: GIJ M1 JIG +36 252
>Morris: ADINTUX 14E AX.. +27 365
>Chris_Guilbert: R G6 R.. +6 258
>Morris: DIKNOTU L6 .ID +6 371
#note I noticed that something like UT 5F wouldn't be that effective of a block, since TROW can become STROW, so it would allow for bingos ending in NS or MS, whereas ROW would need for the P or the blank (as a B, C, F, G, P, T, or V) to be the last or second to last letter. What I failed to consider was that something like DOUT or DUIT effectively blocks the line, though it does empty the bag.
>Chris_Guilbert: ?AEMNRS 3D uSERNAM. +70 328
>Morris: EKNOPTU 15A TOKEN +32 403
#note UNKEPT 5C.
>Chris_Guilbert: E O1 ...E +16 344
>Chris_Guilbert: (PU) +8 352
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